Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.543.02safe0.51–2.440.69–2.401.20–4.84safer0.26–2.700.46–2.630.72–5.32
Shots on target
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.545.2610.80safe3.67–7.403.52–7.017.20–14.41safer3.18–7.893.05–7.476.24–15.36
Total shots
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4015.2230.61safe11.47–19.3211.66–18.7823.13–38.10safer10.38–20.4110.70–19.7421.08–40.15
Shots in box
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5910.6220.21safe6.65–12.537.94–13.3014.58–25.83safer5.82–13.367.20–14.0413.02–27.40
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.808.28safe2.59–6.362.15–5.454.74–11.81safer2.05–6.901.66–5.953.70–12.85
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.655.4711.12safe3.43–7.863.47–7.476.91–15.33safer2.86–8.432.94–8.015.80–16.44
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction51.6548.26safe44.86–58.4441.48–55.05safer43.19–60.1139.81–56.72
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction452419872safe385–520353–486738–1005safer367–538335–503702–1041
Pass accuracy %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction66.4069.62safe62.37–70.4365.30–73.95safer61.07–71.7263.99–75.26
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9012.3622.27safe7.07–12.749.42–15.3116.49–28.05safer6.31–13.508.67–16.0614.98–29.56
Offsides
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.512.91safe0.24–2.560.41–2.600.65–5.16safer0.00–2.860.13–2.890.07–5.75
Yellow cards
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.623.01safe0.34–2.440.49–2.750.83–5.19safer0.08–2.710.20–3.040.27–5.74
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.383.617.00safe1.95–4.822.06–5.174.01–9.99safer1.56–5.211.63–5.603.19–10.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.44 0.26–2.70 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 36% 24% 39% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.67–7.40 3.18–7.89 | 5.26 3.52–7.01 3.05–7.47 | 10.80 7.20–14.41 6.24–15.36 | 47% 41% |
| Total shots | 15.40 11.47–19.32 10.38–20.41 | 15.22 11.66–18.78 10.70–19.74 | 30.61 23.13–38.10 21.08–40.15 | 48% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.59 6.65–12.53 5.82–13.36 | 10.62 7.94–13.30 7.20–14.04 | 20.21 14.58–25.83 13.02–27.40 | 37% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.36 2.05–6.90 | 3.80 2.15–5.45 1.66–5.95 | 8.28 4.74–11.81 3.70–12.85 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.43–7.86 2.86–8.43 | 5.47 3.47–7.47 2.94–8.01 | 11.12 6.91–15.33 5.80–16.44 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 51.65 44.86–58.44 43.19–60.11 | 48.26 41.48–55.05 39.81–56.72 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 452 385–520 367–538 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 872 738–1005 702–1041 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.40 62.37–70.43 61.07–71.72 | 69.62 65.30–73.95 63.99–75.26 | — | 32% 64% |
| Fouls | 9.90 7.07–12.74 6.31–13.50 | 12.36 9.42–15.31 8.67–16.06 | 22.27 16.49–28.05 14.98–29.56 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 2.91 0.65–5.16 0.07–5.75 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.27–5.74 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.95–4.82 1.56–5.21 | 3.61 2.06–5.17 1.63–5.60 | 7.00 4.01–9.99 3.19–10.80 | 39% 15% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.