Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.162.73safe0.60–2.540.30–2.010.90–4.55safer0.35–2.790.08–2.240.42–5.03
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.109.25safe3.29–7.012.36–5.845.64–12.85safer2.80–7.501.89–6.314.69–13.81
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7612.3727.13safe10.84–18.698.81–15.9319.65–34.62safer9.75–19.787.85–16.8917.59–36.67
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.987.1017.08safe7.04–12.924.42–9.7811.46–22.71safer6.21–13.753.68–10.529.89–24.27
Blocked shots
51%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.522.956.47safe1.64–5.401.30–4.612.94–10.01safer1.09–5.950.81–5.101.90–11.04
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.4110.00safe3.37–7.802.41–6.415.78–14.21safer2.80–8.371.88–6.954.68–15.32
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.5751.67safe41.78–55.3644.89–58.45safer40.11–57.0343.21–60.13
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction422434856safe354–489368–501722–989safer336–507350–518686–1025
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction67.4771.22safe63.44–71.5066.89–75.54safer62.15–72.7965.59–76.85
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8914.0524.94safe8.05–13.7211.11–17.0019.16–30.72safer7.29–14.4810.36–17.7517.65–32.23
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.403.17safe0.60–2.930.31–2.500.92–5.42safer0.30–3.230.02–2.790.33–6.01
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.223.74safe0.47–2.561.10–3.351.56–5.92safer0.20–2.830.80–3.641.00–6.47
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.013.596.60safe1.58–4.452.03–5.153.61–9.59safer1.19–4.841.61–5.572.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.73 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.29–7.01 2.80–7.50 | 4.10 2.36–5.84 1.89–6.31 | 9.25 5.64–12.85 4.69–13.81 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.76 10.84–18.69 9.75–19.78 | 12.37 8.81–15.93 7.85–16.89 | 27.13 19.65–34.62 17.59–36.67 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.98 7.04–12.92 6.21–13.75 | 7.10 4.42–9.78 3.68–10.52 | 17.08 11.46–22.71 9.89–24.27 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.95 | 2.95 1.30–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 6.47 2.94–10.01 1.90–11.04 | 51% 16% 34% |
| Corners | 5.58 3.37–7.80 2.80–8.37 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.88–6.95 | 10.00 5.78–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 48.57 41.78–55.36 40.11–57.03 | 51.67 44.89–58.45 43.21–60.13 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 422 354–489 336–507 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 856 722–989 686–1025 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.47 63.44–71.50 62.15–72.79 | 71.22 66.89–75.54 65.59–76.85 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 10.89 8.05–13.72 7.29–14.48 | 14.05 11.11–17.00 10.36–17.75 | 24.94 19.16–30.72 17.65–32.23 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.60–2.93 0.30–3.23 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.17 0.92–5.42 0.33–6.01 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.22 1.10–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.47 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.58–4.45 1.19–4.84 | 3.59 2.03–5.15 1.61–5.57 | 6.60 3.61–9.59 2.80–10.41 | 34% 15% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.