Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.252.55safe0.34–2.270.39–2.100.73–4.38safer0.09–2.530.16–2.330.25–4.85
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.904.239.13safe3.04–6.772.49–5.975.53–12.74safer2.55–7.262.02–6.444.57–13.69
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0613.1328.19safe11.14–18.999.57–16.6920.70–35.68safer10.05–20.088.61–17.6518.65–37.73
Shots in box
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction9.168.8718.03safe6.22–12.106.19–11.5512.41–23.65safer5.39–12.935.45–12.2910.84–25.22
Blocked shots
55%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.013.197.21safe2.13–5.891.54–4.853.67–10.74safer1.59–6.441.05–5.342.63–11.78
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.839.93safe2.88–7.312.83–6.835.71–14.14safer2.31–7.892.30–7.364.61–15.25
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.4147.10safe45.62–59.2040.31–53.88safer43.95–60.8738.64–55.55
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction453377830safe386–520310–443696–963safer368–538293–461660–999
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction69.3869.10safe65.35–73.4164.78–73.43safer64.05–74.7063.47–74.74
Fouls
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4711.2225.69safe11.64–17.318.28–14.1719.91–31.48safer10.88–18.077.53–14.9118.41–32.98
Offsides
33%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.833.39safe0.40–2.720.74–2.921.14–5.65safer0.10–3.020.45–3.210.55–6.23
Yellow cards
43%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.623.45safe0.78–2.880.49–2.751.27–5.63safer0.52–3.150.20–3.040.72–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.606.63safe1.59–4.462.04–5.163.63–9.62safer1.20–4.851.62–5.582.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.53 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.55 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.85 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.04–6.77 2.55–7.26 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 9.13 5.53–12.74 4.57–13.69 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.06 11.14–18.99 10.05–20.08 | 13.13 9.57–16.69 8.61–17.65 | 28.19 20.70–35.68 18.65–37.73 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.16 6.22–12.10 5.39–12.93 | 8.87 6.19–11.55 5.45–12.29 | 18.03 12.41–23.65 10.84–25.22 | 48% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.13–5.89 1.59–6.44 | 3.19 1.54–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.21 3.67–10.74 2.63–11.78 | 55% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.89 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.36 | 9.93 5.71–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 52.41 45.62–59.20 43.95–60.87 | 47.10 40.31–53.88 38.64–55.55 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 453 386–520 368–538 | 377 310–443 293–461 | 830 696–963 660–999 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.38 65.35–73.41 64.05–74.70 | 69.10 64.78–73.43 63.47–74.74 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 14.47 11.64–17.31 10.88–18.07 | 11.22 8.28–14.17 7.53–14.91 | 25.69 19.91–31.48 18.41–32.98 | 71% 23% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.39 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.23 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 43% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 3.60 2.04–5.16 1.62–5.58 | 6.63 3.63–9.62 2.82–10.43 | 34% 15% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+