Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.282.52safe0.26–2.200.43–2.140.69–4.34safer0.01–2.450.20–2.370.21–4.82
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.198.66safe2.60–6.332.45–5.935.05–12.26safer2.11–6.821.98–6.404.10–13.22
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7912.7326.52safe9.86–17.719.16–16.2919.03–34.00safer8.77–18.818.20–17.2516.98–36.05
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.188.0816.26safe5.24–11.125.40–10.7610.64–21.89safer4.41–11.954.67–11.509.07–23.45
Blocked shots
45%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.603.407.00safe1.72–5.491.74–5.053.46–10.54safer1.18–6.031.25–5.542.43–11.57
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.619.95safe3.12–7.552.61–6.615.73–14.16safer2.55–8.122.08–7.154.63–15.27
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.1649.82safe43.37–56.9543.04–56.61safer41.70–58.6241.37–58.28
Passes
52%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction422417839safe355–490350–483706–973safer337–508333–501670–1009
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction68.0671.31safe64.03–72.0966.98–75.63safer62.74–73.3865.68–76.94
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5813.2427.82safe11.74–17.4210.30–16.1922.04–33.60safer10.99–18.179.55–16.9420.53–35.11
Offsides
44%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.312.89safe0.42–2.740.21–2.400.64–5.14safer0.12–3.050.00–2.690.05–5.73
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.963.95safe0.95–3.050.83–3.081.78–6.13safer0.68–3.310.54–3.381.22–6.69
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.055.96safe1.47–4.351.50–4.612.97–8.95safer1.09–4.731.07–5.032.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.52 0.69–4.34 0.21–4.82 | 35% 27% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.82 | 4.19 2.45–5.93 1.98–6.40 | 8.66 5.05–12.26 4.10–13.22 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.79 9.86–17.71 8.77–18.81 | 12.73 9.16–16.29 8.20–17.25 | 26.52 19.03–34.00 16.98–36.05 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.18 5.24–11.12 4.41–11.95 | 8.08 5.40–10.76 4.67–11.50 | 16.26 10.64–21.89 9.07–23.45 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.60 1.72–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 3.40 1.74–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 7.00 3.46–10.54 2.43–11.57 | 45% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.12–7.55 2.55–8.12 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.08–7.15 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 50.16 43.37–56.95 41.70–58.62 | 49.82 43.04–56.61 41.37–58.28 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 422 355–490 337–508 | 417 350–483 333–501 | 839 706–973 670–1009 | 52% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.06 64.03–72.09 62.74–73.38 | 71.31 66.98–75.63 65.68–76.94 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 14.58 11.74–17.42 10.99–18.17 | 13.24 10.30–16.19 9.55–16.94 | 27.82 22.04–33.60 20.53–35.11 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.05 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.89 0.64–5.14 0.05–5.73 | 44% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.68–3.31 | 1.96 0.83–3.08 0.54–3.38 | 3.95 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.35 1.09–4.73 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.03 | 5.96 2.97–8.95 2.16–9.77 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.