Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.042.50safe0.49–2.420.19–1.900.68–4.32safer0.24–2.680.00–2.130.20–4.80
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.983.668.64safe3.12–6.841.92–5.415.04–12.25safer2.63–7.331.46–5.874.08–13.21
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9812.1026.07safe10.05–17.908.53–15.6618.59–33.56safer8.96–18.997.57–16.6216.54–35.61
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction8.647.1315.77safe5.70–11.594.45–9.8110.15–21.39safer4.87–12.413.71–10.558.58–22.96
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.832.876.71safe1.95–5.721.22–4.533.17–10.24safer1.41–6.260.73–5.022.14–11.28
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.7410.03safe3.07–7.502.74–6.745.81–14.24safer2.50–8.072.21–7.274.71–15.35
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.4048.80safe44.61–58.1942.02–55.59safer42.94–59.8640.35–57.26
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction432405837safe365–499338–471703–971safer347–518321–489668–1006
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction67.8669.36safe63.83–71.8965.03–73.68safer62.54–73.1863.72–74.99
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5713.9426.51safe9.73–15.4111.00–16.8920.73–32.30safer8.98–16.1610.25–17.6419.23–33.80
Offsides
40%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.442.99safe0.39–2.710.35–2.530.74–5.24safer0.09–3.010.06–2.820.15–5.83
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.344.00safe0.61–2.711.21–3.471.82–6.18safer0.35–2.980.92–3.761.26–6.74
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.265.77safe1.08–3.951.70–4.822.78–8.77safer0.69–4.341.28–5.241.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.42 0.24–2.68 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.12–6.84 2.63–7.33 | 3.66 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 8.64 5.04–12.25 4.08–13.21 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 13.98 10.05–17.90 8.96–18.99 | 12.10 8.53–15.66 7.57–16.62 | 26.07 18.59–33.56 16.54–35.61 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.64 5.70–11.59 4.87–12.41 | 7.13 4.45–9.81 3.71–10.55 | 15.77 10.15–21.39 8.58–22.96 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.95–5.72 1.41–6.26 | 2.87 1.22–4.53 0.73–5.02 | 6.71 3.17–10.24 2.14–11.28 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.07 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.21–7.27 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 51.40 44.61–58.19 42.94–59.86 | 48.80 42.02–55.59 40.35–57.26 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 432 365–499 347–518 | 405 338–471 321–489 | 837 703–971 668–1006 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.86 63.83–71.89 62.54–73.18 | 69.36 65.03–73.68 63.72–74.99 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 12.57 9.73–15.41 8.98–16.16 | 13.94 11.00–16.89 10.25–17.64 | 26.51 20.73–32.30 19.23–33.80 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 2.99 0.74–5.24 0.15–5.83 | 40% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.26–6.74 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.26 1.70–4.82 1.28–5.24 | 5.77 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+