Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.552.99safe0.47–2.410.70–2.401.17–4.81safer0.22–2.660.47–2.630.69–5.29
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.949.67safe2.87–6.593.19–6.686.06–13.27safer2.38–7.082.73–7.145.10–14.23
Total shots
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4813.7728.25safe10.55–18.4010.21–17.3420.76–35.74safer9.46–19.499.25–18.2918.71–37.79
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.398.9718.36safe6.44–12.336.29–11.6512.73–23.98safer5.61–13.165.55–12.3911.17–25.55
Blocked shots
43%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.033.988.01safe2.14–5.912.33–5.634.47–11.54safer1.60–6.451.84–6.133.43–12.58
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.485.2510.74safe3.27–7.703.25–7.256.52–14.95safer2.70–8.272.72–7.795.42–16.06
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction48.8750.84safe42.08–55.6644.05–57.62safer40.41–57.3342.38–59.29
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction427443870safe359–494377–510736–1004safer341–512359–527701–1039
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction67.6870.09safe63.65–71.7165.76–74.41safer62.36–73.0064.45–75.72
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.639.9420.57safe7.79–13.476.99–12.8814.78–26.35safer7.04–14.226.24–13.6313.28–27.85
Offsides
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.643.03safe0.22–2.540.55–2.740.77–5.28safer0.00–2.850.26–3.020.18–5.87
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.753.19safe0.39–2.490.62–2.881.01–5.36safer0.12–2.750.33–3.170.45–5.92
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.133.336.46safe1.70–4.571.77–4.883.47–9.45safer1.31–4.961.35–5.312.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.55 0.70–2.40 0.47–2.63 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 35% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.87–6.59 2.38–7.08 | 4.94 3.19–6.68 2.73–7.14 | 9.67 6.06–13.27 5.10–14.23 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 14.48 10.55–18.40 9.46–19.49 | 13.77 10.21–17.34 9.25–18.29 | 28.25 20.76–35.74 18.71–37.79 | 52% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.39 6.44–12.33 5.61–13.16 | 8.97 6.29–11.65 5.55–12.39 | 18.36 12.73–23.98 11.17–25.55 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.14–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 3.98 2.33–5.63 1.84–6.13 | 8.01 4.47–11.54 3.43–12.58 | 43% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.27–7.70 2.70–8.27 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.79 | 10.74 6.52–14.95 5.42–16.06 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 48.87 42.08–55.66 40.41–57.33 | 50.84 44.05–57.62 42.38–59.29 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 427 359–494 341–512 | 443 377–510 359–527 | 870 736–1004 701–1039 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.68 63.65–71.71 62.36–73.00 | 70.09 65.76–74.41 64.45–75.72 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.63 7.79–13.47 7.04–14.22 | 9.94 6.99–12.88 6.24–13.63 | 20.57 14.78–26.35 13.28–27.85 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.85 | 1.64 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.02 | 3.03 0.77–5.28 0.18–5.87 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.12–2.75 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.19 1.01–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.70–4.57 1.31–4.96 | 3.33 1.77–4.88 1.35–5.31 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.66–10.27 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.