Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.103.04safe0.97–2.910.25–1.961.22–4.86safer0.72–3.160.02–2.190.74–5.34
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.053.909.96safe4.19–7.922.16–5.656.35–13.56safer3.70–8.411.69–6.115.40–14.52
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7111.7329.44safe13.78–21.638.17–15.3021.95–36.93safer12.69–22.727.21–16.2619.90–38.98
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.987.5019.48safe9.03–14.924.82–10.1813.85–25.10safer8.20–15.754.08–10.9212.29–26.67
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.553.148.68safe3.66–7.431.48–4.795.15–12.22safer3.12–7.970.99–5.284.11–13.25
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction7.144.1611.31safe4.93–9.362.16–6.167.09–15.52safer4.36–9.931.63–6.705.99–16.63
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction59.2641.80safe52.47–66.0635.01–48.58safer50.80–67.7233.34–50.25
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction526361887safe459–593295–428753–1021safer441–611277–445718–1056
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction74.9670.27safe70.94–78.9965.94–74.59safer69.64–80.2964.64–75.90
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6711.6021.27safe6.83–12.518.66–14.5515.49–27.05safer6.07–13.267.91–15.3013.98–28.56
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.653.28safe0.47–2.790.55–2.741.02–5.53safer0.17–3.090.26–3.030.43–6.12
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.783.15safe0.32–2.420.65–2.910.97–5.33safer0.05–2.680.36–3.200.41–5.88
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.644.296.93safe1.20–4.072.73–5.843.93–9.92safer0.81–4.462.31–6.273.12–10.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.05 4.19–7.92 3.70–8.41 | 3.90 2.16–5.65 1.69–6.11 | 9.96 6.35–13.56 5.40–14.52 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.71 13.78–21.63 12.69–22.72 | 11.73 8.17–15.30 7.21–16.26 | 29.44 21.95–36.93 19.90–38.98 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 11.98 9.03–14.92 8.20–15.75 | 7.50 4.82–10.18 4.08–10.92 | 19.48 13.85–25.10 12.29–26.67 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 5.55 3.66–7.43 3.12–7.97 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 8.68 5.15–12.22 4.11–13.25 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 7.14 4.93–9.36 4.36–9.93 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.63–6.70 | 11.31 7.09–15.52 5.99–16.63 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 59.26 52.47–66.06 50.80–67.72 | 41.80 35.01–48.58 33.34–50.25 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 526 459–593 441–611 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 887 753–1021 718–1056 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.96 70.94–78.99 69.64–80.29 | 70.27 65.94–74.59 64.64–75.90 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 9.67 6.83–12.51 6.07–13.26 | 11.60 8.66–14.55 7.91–15.30 | 21.27 15.49–27.05 13.98–28.56 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.03 | 3.28 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.15 0.97–5.33 0.41–5.88 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 4.29 2.73–5.84 2.31–6.27 | 6.93 3.93–9.92 3.12–10.73 | 20% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+