Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.833.17safe0.36–2.300.98–2.691.34–4.99safer0.11–2.550.75–2.920.86–5.47
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.335.599.91safe2.46–6.193.85–7.336.31–13.52safer1.97–6.683.38–7.805.35–14.48
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0115.5429.55safe10.09–17.9411.98–19.1122.07–37.04safer8.99–19.0311.02–20.0720.02–39.09
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0610.1419.20safe6.12–12.017.46–12.8213.58–24.82safer5.29–12.836.72–13.5612.01–26.39
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.834.358.18safe1.94–5.712.70–6.004.64–11.71safer1.40–6.252.20–6.503.61–12.75
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.985.4210.41safe2.77–7.203.42–7.426.19–14.62safer2.20–7.772.89–7.955.09–15.73
Possession %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction45.4854.14safe38.69–52.2747.36–60.92safer37.02–53.9445.68–62.60
Passes
25%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction416495911safe349–484428–561777–1045safer331–502411–579742–1080
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction69.3175.50safe65.29–73.3471.18–79.82safer63.99–74.6469.87–81.13
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4610.5921.06safe7.63–13.307.65–13.5415.28–26.84safer6.87–14.066.90–14.2913.77–28.34
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.543.29safe0.60–2.920.44–2.631.04–5.54safer0.29–3.220.15–2.920.45–6.13
Yellow cards
33%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.562.90safe0.29–2.390.43–2.690.72–5.08safer0.02–2.650.14–2.980.16–5.63
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.116.55safe2.01–4.891.55–4.663.56–9.55safer1.63–5.271.12–5.092.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.83 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.92 | 3.17 1.34–4.99 0.86–5.47 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 5.59 3.85–7.33 3.38–7.80 | 9.91 6.31–13.52 5.35–14.48 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 14.01 10.09–17.94 8.99–19.03 | 15.54 11.98–19.11 11.02–20.07 | 29.55 22.07–37.04 20.02–39.09 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 9.06 6.12–12.01 5.29–12.83 | 10.14 7.46–12.82 6.72–13.56 | 19.20 13.58–24.82 12.01–26.39 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.94–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 4.35 2.70–6.00 2.20–6.50 | 8.18 4.64–11.71 3.61–12.75 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.77–7.20 2.20–7.77 | 5.42 3.42–7.42 2.89–7.95 | 10.41 6.19–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 45.48 38.69–52.27 37.02–53.94 | 54.14 47.36–60.92 45.68–62.60 | — | 28% 67% |
| Passes | 416 349–484 331–502 | 495 428–561 411–579 | 911 777–1045 742–1080 | 25% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.31 65.29–73.34 63.99–74.64 | 75.50 71.18–79.82 69.87–81.13 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 10.46 7.63–13.30 6.87–14.06 | 10.59 7.65–13.54 6.90–14.29 | 21.06 15.28–26.84 13.77–28.34 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.29–3.22 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.92 | 3.29 1.04–5.54 0.45–6.13 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.02–2.65 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 2.90 0.72–5.08 0.16–5.63 | 33% 25% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.45 2.01–4.89 1.63–5.27 | 3.11 1.55–4.66 1.12–5.09 | 6.55 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+