Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.883.013.90safe0.00–1.852.16–3.872.07–5.72safer0.00–2.101.93–4.091.59–6.20
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction3.427.9811.40safe1.56–5.296.24–9.727.80–15.01safer1.07–5.775.77–10.196.84–15.96
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0720.3031.37safe7.14–14.9916.74–23.8723.88–38.86safer6.05–16.0815.78–24.8321.83–40.91
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4114.3420.75safe3.47–9.3511.66–17.0215.13–26.37safer2.64–10.1810.92–17.7613.56–27.94
Blocked shots
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.065.568.62safe1.18–4.943.91–7.215.09–12.16safer0.64–5.493.42–7.714.05–13.19
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.527.5111.03safe1.31–5.735.51–9.516.82–15.24safer0.73–6.314.98–10.045.71–16.35
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.6463.94safe29.85–43.4357.16–70.73safer28.18–45.1055.49–72.40
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction333579912safe266–401512–645778–1046safer248–419495–663743–1082
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction61.6779.35safe57.64–65.7075.03–83.68safer56.35–66.9973.72–84.98
Fouls
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction11.719.3921.10safe8.87–14.546.45–12.3415.32–26.88safer8.11–15.305.70–13.0813.81–28.39
Offsides
28%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.003.43safe0.27–2.590.91–3.091.18–5.68safer0.00–2.890.62–3.380.59–6.27
Yellow cards
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.303.34safe0.99–3.090.17–2.431.16–5.51safer0.72–3.350.00–2.720.60–6.07
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.070.17safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.272.447.71safe3.83–6.700.89–4.004.72–10.70safer3.44–7.090.46–4.423.91–11.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.10 | 3.01 2.16–3.87 1.93–4.09 | 3.90 2.07–5.72 1.59–6.20 | 80% |
| Shots on target | 3.42 1.56–5.29 1.07–5.77 | 7.98 6.24–9.72 5.77–10.19 | 11.40 7.80–15.01 6.84–15.96 | 89% |
| Total shots | 11.07 7.14–14.99 6.05–16.08 | 20.30 16.74–23.87 15.78–24.83 | 31.37 23.88–38.86 21.83–40.91 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 6.41 3.47–9.35 2.64–10.18 | 14.34 11.66–17.02 10.92–17.76 | 20.75 15.13–26.37 13.56–27.94 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 3.06 1.18–4.94 0.64–5.49 | 5.56 3.91–7.21 3.42–7.71 | 8.62 5.09–12.16 4.05–13.19 | 15% 75% |
| Corners | 3.52 1.31–5.73 0.73–6.31 | 7.51 5.51–9.51 4.98–10.04 | 11.03 6.82–15.24 5.71–16.35 | 86% |
| Possession % | 36.64 29.85–43.43 28.18–45.10 | 63.94 57.16–70.73 55.49–72.40 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 333 266–401 248–419 | 579 512–645 495–663 | 912 778–1046 743–1082 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.67 57.64–65.70 56.35–66.99 | 79.35 75.03–83.68 73.72–84.98 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.71 8.87–14.54 8.11–15.30 | 9.39 6.45–12.34 5.70–13.08 | 21.10 15.32–26.88 13.81–28.39 | 65% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 28% 22% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.72–3.35 | 1.30 0.17–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.34 1.16–5.51 0.60–6.07 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 5.27 3.83–6.70 3.44–7.09 | 2.44 0.89–4.00 0.46–4.42 | 7.71 4.72–10.70 3.91–11.52 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.