Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.650.764.41safe2.68–4.620.00–1.612.59–6.23safer2.43–4.870.00–1.842.11–6.71
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.283.0512.33safe7.42–11.141.31–4.798.72–15.93safer6.93–11.630.84–5.267.77–16.89
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction23.697.9731.66safe19.76–27.614.41–11.5324.17–39.15safer18.67–28.703.45–12.4922.12–41.20
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction16.085.5521.63safe13.14–19.022.86–8.2316.00–27.25safer12.31–19.852.13–8.9614.44–28.82
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.892.148.03safe4.00–7.770.49–3.804.50–11.57safer3.46–8.310.00–4.293.46–12.60
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.642.7811.42safe6.43–10.850.78–4.787.20–15.63safer5.85–11.430.24–5.316.10–16.74
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.3633.42safe59.57–73.1526.63–40.20safer57.90–74.8224.96–41.87
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction650327977safe583–717260–393843–1111safer565–736243–411808–1146
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction79.4867.40safe75.45–83.5163.07–71.72safer74.16–84.8061.76–73.03
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0511.5120.56safe6.21–11.898.57–14.4614.78–26.35safer5.46–12.657.82–15.2113.28–27.85
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.253.17safe0.76–3.080.16–2.350.92–5.43safer0.46–3.380.00–2.640.33–6.01
Yellow cards
15%
22%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction0.791.862.65safe0.00–1.840.73–2.990.47–4.83safer0.00–2.110.44–3.280.00–5.38
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
87%
homeawaytotalprediction2.155.767.91safe0.71–3.594.21–7.324.92–10.91safer0.33–3.973.78–7.744.11–11.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.65 2.68–4.62 2.43–4.87 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 4.41 2.59–6.23 2.11–6.71 | 88% |
| Shots on target | 9.28 7.42–11.14 6.93–11.63 | 3.05 1.31–4.79 0.84–5.26 | 12.33 8.72–15.93 7.77–16.89 | 95% |
| Total shots | 23.69 19.76–27.61 18.67–28.70 | 7.97 4.41–11.53 3.45–12.49 | 31.66 24.17–39.15 22.12–41.20 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.08 13.14–19.02 12.31–19.85 | 5.55 2.86–8.23 2.13–8.96 | 21.63 16.00–27.25 14.44–28.82 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.89 4.00–7.77 3.46–8.31 | 2.14 0.49–3.80 0.00–4.29 | 8.03 4.50–11.57 3.46–12.60 | 88% |
| Corners | 8.64 6.43–10.85 5.85–11.43 | 2.78 0.78–4.78 0.24–5.31 | 11.42 7.20–15.63 6.10–16.74 | 95% |
| Possession % | 66.36 59.57–73.15 57.90–74.82 | 33.42 26.63–40.20 24.96–41.87 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 650 583–717 565–736 | 327 260–393 243–411 | 977 843–1111 808–1146 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.48 75.45–83.51 74.16–84.80 | 67.40 63.07–71.72 61.76–73.03 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 9.05 6.21–11.89 5.46–12.65 | 11.51 8.57–14.46 7.82–15.21 | 20.56 14.78–26.35 13.28–27.85 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.01 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 0.79 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.11 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 2.65 0.47–4.83 0.00–5.38 | 15% 22% 63% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.71–3.59 0.33–3.97 | 5.76 4.21–7.32 3.78–7.74 | 7.91 4.92–10.91 4.11–11.72 | 87% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.