Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.142.62safe0.52–2.450.28–1.990.80–4.45safer0.26–2.700.06–2.220.32–4.93
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.303.839.13safe3.44–7.172.09–5.575.53–12.74safer2.95–7.651.62–6.044.57–13.69
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0411.7027.74safe12.11–19.968.14–15.2620.25–35.22safer11.02–21.057.18–16.2218.20–37.27
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction10.127.6917.81safe7.17–13.065.01–10.3712.18–23.43safer6.34–13.894.27–11.1110.62–25.00
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.293.427.71safe2.41–6.171.77–5.074.17–11.25safer1.86–6.711.28–5.573.14–12.28
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.674.3810.05safe3.46–7.892.38–6.385.84–14.26safer2.88–8.461.84–6.914.73–15.37
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.9245.73safe48.13–61.7138.95–52.52safer46.46–63.3837.28–54.19
Passes
78%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction483389872safe416–551322–455739–1006safer398–569305–473703–1042
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction70.3969.83safe66.36–74.4265.51–74.16safer65.07–75.7164.20–75.46
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3411.3623.69safe9.50–15.178.41–14.3017.91–29.48safer8.74–15.937.67–15.0516.41–30.98
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.563.37safe0.65–2.970.46–2.651.11–5.62safer0.35–3.270.18–2.940.52–6.21
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.123.80safe0.63–2.730.99–3.251.62–5.98safer0.36–2.990.70–3.541.06–6.54
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.706.48safe1.34–4.222.14–5.253.49–9.47safer0.96–4.601.72–5.682.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.52–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 2.62 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.30 3.44–7.17 2.95–7.65 | 3.83 2.09–5.57 1.62–6.04 | 9.13 5.53–12.74 4.57–13.69 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.04 12.11–19.96 11.02–21.05 | 11.70 8.14–15.26 7.18–16.22 | 27.74 20.25–35.22 18.20–37.27 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.12 7.17–13.06 6.34–13.89 | 7.69 5.01–10.37 4.27–11.11 | 17.81 12.18–23.43 10.62–25.00 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.29 2.41–6.17 1.86–6.71 | 3.42 1.77–5.07 1.28–5.57 | 7.71 4.17–11.25 3.14–12.28 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.46–7.89 2.88–8.46 | 4.38 2.38–6.38 1.84–6.91 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 54.92 48.13–61.71 46.46–63.38 | 45.73 38.95–52.52 37.28–54.19 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 483 416–551 398–569 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 78% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.39 66.36–74.42 65.07–75.71 | 69.83 65.51–74.16 64.20–75.46 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 12.34 9.50–15.17 8.74–15.93 | 11.36 8.41–14.30 7.67–15.05 | 23.69 17.91–29.48 16.41–30.98 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.37 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.06–6.54 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.34–4.22 0.96–4.60 | 3.70 2.14–5.25 1.72–5.68 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.67–10.28 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+