Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.512.83safe0.35–2.290.65–2.361.01–4.65safer0.10–2.540.43–2.590.53–5.13
Shots on target
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.384.749.12safe2.52–6.242.99–6.485.51–12.72safer2.03–6.732.53–6.954.56–13.68
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7613.2526.00safe8.83–16.689.68–16.8118.52–33.49safer7.74–17.778.72–17.7716.47–35.54
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.497.8516.34safe5.54–11.435.17–10.5310.71–21.96safer4.71–12.264.43–11.279.15–23.53
Blocked shots
38%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.626.99safe1.48–5.251.97–5.283.45–10.52safer0.94–5.791.48–5.772.42–11.56
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.174.9310.10safe2.95–7.382.93–6.935.89–14.31safer2.38–7.952.40–7.464.78–15.42
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.6154.69safe38.82–52.4047.91–61.48safer37.15–54.0746.24–63.15
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction402479881safe334–469413–546747–1014safer316–487395–563711–1050
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction68.0074.20safe63.97–72.0369.88–78.52safer62.68–73.3268.57–79.83
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1012.7123.81safe8.26–13.939.77–15.6618.03–29.59safer7.50–14.699.02–16.4116.52–31.10
Offsides
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.753.62safe0.71–3.030.66–2.841.37–5.87safer0.41–3.330.37–3.130.78–6.46
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.893.55safe0.61–2.710.76–3.021.37–5.73safer0.34–2.970.47–3.310.82–6.29
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
46%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.242.966.20safe1.81–4.681.40–4.513.21–9.19safer1.42–5.070.98–4.942.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.51 0.65–2.36 0.43–2.59 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.52–6.24 2.03–6.73 | 4.74 2.99–6.48 2.53–6.95 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.56–13.68 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.76 8.83–16.68 7.74–17.77 | 13.25 9.68–16.81 8.72–17.77 | 26.00 18.52–33.49 16.47–35.54 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.49 5.54–11.43 4.71–12.26 | 7.85 5.17–10.53 4.43–11.27 | 16.34 10.71–21.96 9.15–23.53 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.48–5.25 0.94–5.79 | 3.62 1.97–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 6.99 3.45–10.52 2.42–11.56 | 38% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.95–7.38 2.38–7.95 | 4.93 2.93–6.93 2.40–7.46 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 45.61 38.82–52.40 37.15–54.07 | 54.69 47.91–61.48 46.24–63.15 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 402 334–469 316–487 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 881 747–1014 711–1050 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.00 63.97–72.03 62.68–73.32 | 74.20 69.88–78.52 68.57–79.83 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.26–13.93 7.50–14.69 | 12.71 9.77–15.66 9.02–16.41 | 23.81 18.03–29.59 16.52–31.10 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.62 1.37–5.87 0.78–6.46 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.55 1.37–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 2.96 1.40–4.51 0.98–4.94 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 46% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+