Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction0.902.463.36safe0.00–1.861.61–3.321.54–5.18safer0.00–2.121.38–3.551.06–5.66
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction3.037.0610.09safe1.17–4.895.32–8.806.48–13.69safer0.68–5.384.85–9.275.53–14.65
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7017.2726.98safe5.78–13.6313.71–20.8419.49–34.46safer4.69–14.7212.75–21.7917.44–36.52
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.7911.5317.32safe2.84–8.738.85–14.2111.70–22.94safer2.01–9.568.12–14.9510.13–24.51
Blocked shots
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.375.93safe0.68–4.441.72–5.022.40–9.47safer0.14–4.991.22–5.521.36–10.50
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.726.179.89safe1.50–5.934.17–8.175.67–14.10safer0.93–6.503.64–8.704.57–15.21
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.3861.41safe32.59–46.1754.63–68.20safer30.92–47.8452.96–69.87
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction365543908safe297–432477–610774–1041safer279–450459–627738–1077
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction62.7075.50safe58.67–66.7371.17–79.82safer57.38–68.0269.86–81.13
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5511.3721.92safe7.71–13.398.43–14.3216.14–27.70safer6.96–14.147.68–15.0614.63–29.21
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.603.23safe0.47–2.790.50–2.690.97–5.48safer0.17–3.090.21–2.980.38–6.07
Yellow cards
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.453.16safe0.65–2.750.33–2.580.98–5.34safer0.39–3.020.03–2.870.42–5.89
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.282.206.48safe2.85–5.720.64–3.763.49–9.47safer2.46–6.110.22–4.182.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.90 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.12 | 2.46 1.61–3.32 1.38–3.55 | 3.36 1.54–5.18 1.06–5.66 | 17% 72% |
| Shots on target | 3.03 1.17–4.89 0.68–5.38 | 7.06 5.32–8.80 4.85–9.27 | 10.09 6.48–13.69 5.53–14.65 | 87% |
| Total shots | 9.70 5.78–13.63 4.69–14.72 | 17.27 13.71–20.84 12.75–21.79 | 26.98 19.49–34.46 17.44–36.52 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 5.79 2.84–8.73 2.01–9.56 | 11.53 8.85–14.21 8.12–14.95 | 17.32 11.70–22.94 10.13–24.51 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 2.56 0.68–4.44 0.14–4.99 | 3.37 1.72–5.02 1.22–5.52 | 5.93 2.40–9.47 1.36–10.50 | 29% 16% 55% |
| Corners | 3.72 1.50–5.93 0.93–6.50 | 6.17 4.17–8.17 3.64–8.70 | 9.89 5.67–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 39.38 32.59–46.17 30.92–47.84 | 61.41 54.63–68.20 52.96–69.87 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 365 297–432 279–450 | 543 477–610 459–627 | 908 774–1041 738–1077 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.70 58.67–66.73 57.38–68.02 | 75.50 71.17–79.82 69.86–81.13 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.55 7.71–13.39 6.96–14.14 | 11.37 8.43–14.32 7.68–15.06 | 21.92 16.14–27.70 14.63–29.21 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.60 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.98 | 3.23 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 1.45 0.33–2.58 0.03–2.87 | 3.16 0.98–5.34 0.42–5.89 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.28 2.85–5.72 2.46–6.11 | 2.20 0.64–3.76 0.22–4.18 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.68–10.29 | 73% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.