Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.690.693.38safe1.72–3.660.00–1.551.56–5.21safer1.47–3.910.00–1.781.08–5.69
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.612.5910.20safe5.75–9.470.85–4.336.60–13.81safer5.26–9.960.38–4.805.64–14.76
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.927.8828.80safe17.00–24.854.32–11.4421.31–36.29safer15.91–25.943.36–12.4019.26–38.34
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.155.2719.43safe11.21–17.102.59–7.9513.80–25.05safer10.38–17.931.85–8.6912.24–26.62
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.572.698.26safe3.69–7.451.04–4.344.72–11.79safer3.14–7.990.55–4.843.69–12.83
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.623.2810.90safe5.41–9.831.28–5.286.69–15.11safer4.83–10.410.74–5.815.58–16.22
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.5337.56safe54.74–68.3230.77–44.34safer53.07–69.9929.10–46.01
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction572334907safe505–640268–401773–1040safer487–658250–418737–1076
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction76.8067.20safe72.77–80.8362.88–71.53safer71.47–82.1261.57–72.83
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1310.8922.02safe8.29–13.977.95–13.8416.24–27.80safer7.54–14.727.20–14.5814.73–29.31
Offsides
43%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.463.15safe0.53–2.850.37–2.550.90–5.40safer0.23–3.150.08–2.840.31–5.99
Yellow cards
25%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.582.63safe0.00–2.100.45–2.710.46–4.81safer0.00–2.370.16–3.000.00–5.37
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.025.177.19safe0.58–3.453.62–6.734.20–10.18safer0.19–3.843.19–7.153.39–11.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.69 1.72–3.66 1.47–3.91 | 0.69 0.00–1.55 0.00–1.78 | 3.38 1.56–5.21 1.08–5.69 | 80% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.61 5.75–9.47 5.26–9.96 | 2.59 0.85–4.33 0.38–4.80 | 10.20 6.60–13.81 5.64–14.76 | 93% |
| Total shots | 20.92 17.00–24.85 15.91–25.94 | 7.88 4.32–11.44 3.36–12.40 | 28.80 21.31–36.29 19.26–38.34 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.15 11.21–17.10 10.38–17.93 | 5.27 2.59–7.95 1.85–8.69 | 19.43 13.80–25.05 12.24–26.62 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.57 3.69–7.45 3.14–7.99 | 2.69 1.04–4.34 0.55–4.84 | 8.26 4.72–11.79 3.69–12.83 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.62 5.41–9.83 4.83–10.41 | 3.28 1.28–5.28 0.74–5.81 | 10.90 6.69–15.11 5.58–16.22 | 88% |
| Possession % | 61.53 54.74–68.32 53.07–69.99 | 37.56 30.77–44.34 29.10–46.01 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 572 505–640 487–658 | 334 268–401 250–418 | 907 773–1040 737–1076 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.80 72.77–80.83 71.47–82.12 | 67.20 62.88–71.53 61.57–72.83 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.13 8.29–13.97 7.54–14.72 | 10.89 7.95–13.84 7.20–14.58 | 22.02 16.24–27.80 14.73–29.31 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.15 0.90–5.40 0.31–5.99 | 43% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.05 0.00–2.10 0.00–2.37 | 1.58 0.45–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 2.63 0.46–4.81 0.00–5.37 | 25% 25% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.02 0.58–3.45 0.19–3.84 | 5.17 3.62–6.73 3.19–7.15 | 7.19 4.20–10.18 3.39–11.00 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+