Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.243.21safe1.01–2.940.38–2.091.39–5.03safer0.76–3.190.15–2.320.91–5.51
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.184.3910.58safe4.32–8.052.65–6.146.97–14.18safer3.83–8.542.19–6.606.02–15.14
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction18.0112.9931.00safe14.08–21.939.43–16.5523.51–38.49safer12.99–23.028.47–17.5121.46–40.54
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.777.8019.58safe8.83–14.725.12–10.4813.95–25.20safer8.00–15.554.38–11.2212.39–26.77
Blocked shots
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.043.758.79safe3.15–6.922.10–5.405.25–12.32safer2.61–7.461.61–5.904.22–13.36
Corners
63%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction6.574.9611.54safe4.36–8.792.96–6.967.32–15.75safer3.79–9.362.43–7.506.22–16.86
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.7245.03safe47.93–61.5138.24–51.81safer46.26–63.1836.57–53.48
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction487385871safe420–554318–451738–1005safer401–572301–469702–1041
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction70.8669.92safe66.83–74.8965.59–74.24safer65.53–76.1864.28–75.55
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1711.8021.97safe7.33–13.018.86–14.7516.19–27.75safer6.58–13.768.11–15.4914.69–29.26
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.472.91safe0.28–2.600.38–2.570.66–5.17safer0.00–2.900.09–2.850.07–5.76
Yellow cards
29%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.763.11safe0.30–2.400.63–2.890.93–5.29safer0.03–2.660.34–3.180.38–5.85
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.224.387.61safe1.79–4.662.83–5.944.62–10.60safer1.40–5.052.40–6.373.80–11.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.97 1.01–2.94 0.76–3.19 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 3.21 1.39–5.03 0.91–5.51 | 55% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 6.18 4.32–8.05 3.83–8.54 | 4.39 2.65–6.14 2.19–6.60 | 10.58 6.97–14.18 6.02–15.14 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 18.01 14.08–21.93 12.99–23.02 | 12.99 9.43–16.55 8.47–17.51 | 31.00 23.51–38.49 21.46–40.54 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 11.77 8.83–14.72 8.00–15.55 | 7.80 5.12–10.48 4.38–11.22 | 19.58 13.95–25.20 12.39–26.77 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 5.04 3.15–6.92 2.61–7.46 | 3.75 2.10–5.40 1.61–5.90 | 8.79 5.25–12.32 4.22–13.36 | 60% 27% |
| Corners | 6.57 4.36–8.79 3.79–9.36 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.43–7.50 | 11.54 7.32–15.75 6.22–16.86 | 63% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.72 47.93–61.51 46.26–63.18 | 45.03 38.24–51.81 36.57–53.48 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 487 420–554 401–572 | 385 318–451 301–469 | 871 738–1005 702–1041 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.86 66.83–74.89 65.53–76.18 | 69.92 65.59–74.24 64.28–75.55 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 10.17 7.33–13.01 6.58–13.76 | 11.80 8.86–14.75 8.11–15.49 | 21.97 16.19–27.75 14.69–29.26 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.85 | 2.91 0.66–5.17 0.07–5.76 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.03–2.66 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.11 0.93–5.29 0.38–5.85 | 29% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 4.38 2.83–5.94 2.40–6.37 | 7.61 4.62–10.60 3.80–11.41 | 27% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.