Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.763.14safe0.42–2.350.91–2.611.32–4.97safer0.16–2.600.68–2.840.84–5.45
Shots on target
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.965.7410.70safe3.10–6.824.00–7.487.09–14.30safer2.61–7.313.53–7.956.14–15.26
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0415.8830.92safe11.12–18.9712.32–19.4423.44–38.41safer10.03–20.0611.36–20.4021.39–40.46
Shots in box
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7310.7720.50safe6.79–12.678.09–13.4514.88–26.12safer5.96–13.507.35–14.1913.31–27.69
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.484.128.60safe2.59–6.362.47–5.775.06–12.13safer2.05–6.901.98–6.274.03–13.17
Corners
41%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.525.7511.27safe3.31–7.733.75–7.757.06–15.48safer2.73–8.313.22–8.295.95–16.59
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction48.7351.15safe41.94–55.5244.36–57.93safer40.27–57.1942.69–59.60
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction432449880safe364–499382–515747–1014safer346–517365–533711–1050
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction67.3871.48safe63.35–71.4167.16–75.80safer62.06–72.7165.85–77.11
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8710.3621.23safe8.03–13.717.42–13.3115.45–27.01safer7.27–14.466.67–14.0513.94–28.52
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.373.03safe0.50–2.820.28–2.460.77–5.28safer0.20–3.120.00–2.750.19–5.87
Yellow cards
39%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.533.08safe0.51–2.600.40–2.660.91–5.26safer0.24–2.870.11–2.950.35–5.82
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
48%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.537.41safe2.45–5.321.98–5.094.42–10.41safer2.06–5.711.55–5.513.61–11.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.42–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.76 0.91–2.61 0.68–2.84 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 30% 23% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.82 2.61–7.31 | 5.74 4.00–7.48 3.53–7.95 | 10.70 7.09–14.30 6.14–15.26 | 35% 53% |
| Total shots | 15.04 11.12–18.97 10.03–20.06 | 15.88 12.32–19.44 11.36–20.40 | 30.92 23.44–38.41 21.39–40.46 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 9.73 6.79–12.67 5.96–13.50 | 10.77 8.09–13.45 7.35–14.19 | 20.50 14.88–26.12 13.31–27.69 | 37% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.59–6.36 2.05–6.90 | 4.12 2.47–5.77 1.98–6.27 | 8.60 5.06–12.13 4.03–13.17 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.73 2.73–8.31 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.22–8.29 | 11.27 7.06–15.48 5.95–16.59 | 41% 47% |
| Possession % | 48.73 41.94–55.52 40.27–57.19 | 51.15 44.36–57.93 42.69–59.60 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 432 364–499 346–517 | 449 382–515 365–533 | 880 747–1014 711–1050 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.38 63.35–71.41 62.06–72.71 | 71.48 67.16–75.80 65.85–77.11 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 10.87 8.03–13.71 7.27–14.46 | 10.36 7.42–13.31 6.67–14.05 | 21.23 15.45–27.01 13.94–28.52 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.37 0.28–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.03 0.77–5.28 0.19–5.87 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.51–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 3.08 0.91–5.26 0.35–5.82 | 39% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.88 2.45–5.32 2.06–5.71 | 3.53 1.98–5.09 1.55–5.51 | 7.41 4.42–10.41 3.61–11.22 | 48% 15% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+