Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.882.98safe0.12–2.061.03–2.741.15–4.80safer0.00–2.310.80–2.970.67–5.28
Shots on target
22%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.865.789.64safe2.00–5.724.04–7.526.03–13.24safer1.51–6.213.57–7.995.08–14.20
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9615.3727.33safe8.03–15.8811.81–18.9319.84–34.82safer6.94–16.9710.85–19.8917.79–36.87
Shots in box
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6510.9018.55safe4.71–10.598.21–13.5812.92–24.17safer3.88–11.427.48–14.3111.36–25.74
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.914.318.23safe2.03–5.802.66–5.974.69–11.76safer1.49–6.342.17–6.463.66–12.80
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.785.7510.53safe2.57–7.003.75–7.756.32–14.75safer2.00–7.573.22–8.285.21–15.85
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.7755.01safe37.98–51.5648.23–61.80safer36.31–53.2346.56–63.47
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction399480879safe332–466413–546745–1012safer313–484396–564709–1048
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction64.4872.61safe60.45–68.5168.28–76.93safer59.15–69.8066.97–78.24
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9810.4521.43safe8.14–13.827.51–13.4015.65–27.21safer7.38–14.576.76–14.1514.14–28.72
Offsides
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.242.62safe0.22–2.540.14–2.330.37–4.87safer0.00–2.840.00–2.620.00–5.46
Yellow cards
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.553.27safe0.67–2.760.42–2.681.09–5.45safer0.40–3.030.13–2.970.53–6.00
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.826.58safe2.33–5.201.26–4.383.59–9.58safer1.94–5.590.84–4.802.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.88 1.03–2.74 0.80–2.97 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 2.00–5.72 1.51–6.21 | 5.78 4.04–7.52 3.57–7.99 | 9.64 6.03–13.24 5.08–14.20 | 22% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.96 8.03–15.88 6.94–16.97 | 15.37 11.81–18.93 10.85–19.89 | 27.33 19.84–34.82 17.79–36.87 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 7.65 4.71–10.59 3.88–11.42 | 10.90 8.21–13.58 7.48–14.31 | 18.55 12.92–24.17 11.36–25.74 | 19% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 4.31 2.66–5.97 2.17–6.46 | 8.23 4.69–11.76 3.66–12.80 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.57–7.00 2.00–7.57 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.22–8.28 | 10.53 6.32–14.75 5.21–15.85 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 44.77 37.98–51.56 36.31–53.23 | 55.01 48.23–61.80 46.56–63.47 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 399 332–466 313–484 | 480 413–546 396–564 | 879 745–1012 709–1048 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.48 60.45–68.51 59.15–69.80 | 72.61 68.28–76.93 66.97–78.24 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.82 7.38–14.57 | 10.45 7.51–13.40 6.76–14.15 | 21.43 15.65–27.21 14.14–28.72 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 1.24 0.14–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 2.62 0.37–4.87 0.00–5.46 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.53–6.00 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.33–5.20 1.94–5.59 | 2.82 1.26–4.38 0.84–4.80 | 6.58 3.59–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 57% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.