Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.950.992.94safe0.98–2.920.14–1.851.12–4.77safer0.73–3.170.00–2.070.64–5.25
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.983.389.37safe4.12–7.841.64–5.135.76–12.97safer3.63–8.331.18–5.594.81–13.93
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction18.1310.3728.50safe14.21–22.056.80–13.9321.01–35.98safer13.11–23.155.84–14.8918.96–38.03
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.686.2717.95safe8.73–14.623.59–8.9512.32–23.57safer7.90–15.452.85–9.6910.76–25.14
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.803.177.97safe2.92–6.681.51–4.824.43–11.50safer2.37–7.231.02–5.313.39–12.54
Corners
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.603.8610.46safe4.38–8.811.86–5.866.24–14.67safer3.81–9.391.33–6.395.14–15.78
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.6641.71safe50.87–64.4534.93–48.50safer49.20–66.1233.26–50.17
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction542391933safe475–609325–458800–1067safer457–627307–475764–1103
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction72.4468.29safe68.41–76.4763.97–72.61safer67.12–77.7662.66–73.92
Fouls
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3710.8220.18safe6.53–12.207.87–13.7614.40–25.97safer5.77–12.967.12–14.5112.90–27.47
Offsides
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.252.71safe0.30–2.620.16–2.340.46–4.96safer0.00–2.920.00–2.630.00–5.55
Yellow cards
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.752.92safe0.11–2.210.63–2.880.74–5.09safer0.00–2.480.33–3.180.18–5.65
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.424.166.58safe0.98–3.852.60–5.723.58–9.57safer0.59–4.242.18–6.142.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.98–2.92 0.73–3.17 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.07 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 60% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.12–7.84 3.63–8.33 | 3.38 1.64–5.13 1.18–5.59 | 9.37 5.76–12.97 4.81–13.93 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 18.13 14.21–22.05 13.11–23.15 | 10.37 6.80–13.93 5.84–14.89 | 28.50 21.01–35.98 18.96–38.03 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.68 8.73–14.62 7.90–15.45 | 6.27 3.59–8.95 2.85–9.69 | 17.95 12.32–23.57 10.76–25.14 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.80 2.92–6.68 2.37–7.23 | 3.17 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.97 4.43–11.50 3.39–12.54 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.60 4.38–8.81 3.81–9.39 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.39 | 10.46 6.24–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 76% 16% |
| Possession % | 57.66 50.87–64.45 49.20–66.12 | 41.71 34.93–48.50 33.26–50.17 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 542 475–609 457–627 | 391 325–458 307–475 | 933 800–1067 764–1103 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.44 68.41–76.47 67.12–77.76 | 68.29 63.97–72.61 62.66–73.92 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 9.37 6.53–12.20 5.77–12.96 | 10.82 7.87–13.76 7.12–14.51 | 20.18 14.40–25.97 12.90–27.47 | 33% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.25 0.16–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 2.71 0.46–4.96 0.00–5.55 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.16 0.11–2.21 0.00–2.48 | 1.75 0.63–2.88 0.33–3.18 | 2.92 0.74–5.09 0.18–5.65 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 4.16 2.60–5.72 2.18–6.14 | 6.58 3.58–9.57 2.77–10.38 | 19% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+