Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.992.023.01safe0.03–1.961.16–2.871.19–4.83safer0.00–2.210.93–3.100.71–5.31
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.666.189.84safe1.79–5.524.44–7.936.24–13.45safer1.30–6.013.98–8.395.28–14.40
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6616.6027.26safe6.74–14.5913.04–20.1619.78–34.75safer5.65–15.6812.08–21.1217.73–36.80
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9510.4017.35safe4.01–9.897.72–13.0811.73–22.98safer3.18–10.726.98–13.8210.16–24.54
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.604.477.07safe0.72–4.482.81–6.123.53–10.60safer0.17–5.022.32–6.612.49–11.64
Corners
22%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.146.1310.27safe1.92–6.354.13–8.136.05–14.48safer1.35–6.923.60–8.664.95–15.59
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction36.1964.76safe29.40–42.9857.97–71.54safer27.73–44.6556.30–73.21
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction322568890safe254–389502–635756–1023safer236–407484–652720–1059
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction63.5780.49safe59.54–67.6076.17–84.81safer58.24–68.8974.86–86.12
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2712.7726.04safe10.43–16.109.83–15.7220.26–31.82safer9.67–16.869.08–16.4618.75–33.32
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.653.53safe0.72–3.040.55–2.741.27–5.78safer0.42–3.340.27–3.030.68–6.37
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.154.13safe0.93–3.031.02–3.281.95–6.31safer0.66–3.290.73–3.571.39–6.87
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.092.636.73safe2.66–5.531.08–4.193.73–9.72safer2.27–5.920.65–4.612.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.03–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 2.02 1.16–2.87 0.93–3.10 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.79–5.52 1.30–6.01 | 6.18 4.44–7.93 3.98–8.39 | 9.84 6.24–13.45 5.28–14.40 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 10.66 6.74–14.59 5.65–15.68 | 16.60 13.04–20.16 12.08–21.12 | 27.26 19.78–34.75 17.73–36.80 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 6.95 4.01–9.89 3.18–10.72 | 10.40 7.72–13.08 6.98–13.82 | 17.35 11.73–22.98 10.16–24.54 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 2.60 0.72–4.48 0.17–5.02 | 4.47 2.81–6.12 2.32–6.61 | 7.07 3.53–10.60 2.49–11.64 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 4.14 1.92–6.35 1.35–6.92 | 6.13 4.13–8.13 3.60–8.66 | 10.27 6.05–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 22% 68% |
| Possession % | 36.19 29.40–42.98 27.73–44.65 | 64.76 57.97–71.54 56.30–73.21 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 322 254–389 236–407 | 568 502–635 484–652 | 890 756–1023 720–1059 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.57 59.54–67.60 58.24–68.89 | 80.49 76.17–84.81 74.86–86.12 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 13.27 10.43–16.10 9.67–16.86 | 12.77 9.83–15.72 9.08–16.46 | 26.04 20.26–31.82 18.75–33.32 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.13 1.95–6.31 1.39–6.87 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.09 2.66–5.53 2.27–5.92 | 2.63 1.08–4.19 0.65–4.61 | 6.73 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+