Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.590.833.43safe1.63–3.560.00–1.691.61–5.25safer1.38–3.810.00–1.921.13–5.73
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.553.0710.62safe5.69–9.411.33–4.827.02–14.23safer5.20–9.900.87–5.286.06–15.18
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.078.3628.43safe16.15–24.004.80–11.9220.95–35.92safer15.06–25.093.84–12.8818.90–37.97
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.925.6418.56safe9.98–15.862.96–8.3212.94–24.19safer9.15–16.692.22–9.0611.37–25.75
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.262.077.33safe3.38–7.140.42–3.733.80–10.87safer2.84–7.690.00–4.222.76–11.91
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.802.8910.69safe5.59–10.010.89–4.896.48–14.90safer5.01–10.590.36–5.425.37–16.01
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.3832.11safe60.59–74.1725.33–38.90safer58.92–75.8423.66–40.57
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction632316948safe565–699249–382814–1081safer547–717232–400778–1117
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction81.9668.24safe77.93–85.9963.92–72.56safer76.63–87.2862.61–73.87
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2413.0926.33safe10.40–16.0810.14–16.0320.54–32.11safer9.65–16.839.39–16.7819.04–33.61
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.703.35safe0.48–2.800.61–2.801.09–5.60safer0.18–3.100.32–3.090.50–6.19
Yellow cards
26%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.893.18safe0.24–2.340.76–3.021.00–5.36safer0.00–2.610.47–3.310.44–5.92
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.104.556.65safe0.66–3.533.00–6.113.66–9.64safer0.27–3.922.57–6.532.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.59 1.63–3.56 1.38–3.81 | 0.83 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 3.43 1.61–5.25 1.13–5.73 | 75% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.55 5.69–9.41 5.20–9.90 | 3.07 1.33–4.82 0.87–5.28 | 10.62 7.02–14.23 6.06–15.18 | 89% |
| Total shots | 20.07 16.15–24.00 15.06–25.09 | 8.36 4.80–11.92 3.84–12.88 | 28.43 20.95–35.92 18.90–37.97 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.92 9.98–15.86 9.15–16.69 | 5.64 2.96–8.32 2.22–9.06 | 18.56 12.94–24.19 11.37–25.75 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.26 3.38–7.14 2.84–7.69 | 2.07 0.42–3.73 0.00–4.22 | 7.33 3.80–10.87 2.76–11.91 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.80 5.59–10.01 5.01–10.59 | 2.89 0.89–4.89 0.36–5.42 | 10.69 6.48–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 92% |
| Possession % | 67.38 60.59–74.17 58.92–75.84 | 32.11 25.33–38.90 23.66–40.57 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 632 565–699 547–717 | 316 249–382 232–400 | 948 814–1081 778–1117 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.96 77.93–85.99 76.63–87.28 | 68.24 63.92–72.56 62.61–73.87 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 13.24 10.40–16.08 9.65–16.83 | 13.09 10.14–16.03 9.39–16.78 | 26.33 20.54–32.11 19.04–33.61 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.35 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.18 1.00–5.36 0.44–5.92 | 26% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.66–3.53 0.27–3.92 | 4.55 3.00–6.11 2.57–6.53 | 6.65 3.66–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+