Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.380.943.32safe1.41–3.350.09–1.801.50–5.14safer1.16–3.600.00–2.021.02–5.62
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.703.1110.81safe5.83–9.561.37–4.857.20–14.41safer5.35–10.050.90–5.326.25–15.37
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction22.108.7930.89safe18.17–26.025.23–12.3623.40–38.38safer17.08–27.114.27–13.3221.35–40.43
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.735.8520.58safe11.78–17.673.17–8.5314.95–26.20safer10.96–18.502.43–9.2713.39–27.77
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.202.338.53safe4.32–8.080.68–3.984.99–12.06safer3.77–8.620.19–4.483.96–13.10
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction8.163.2111.37safe5.95–10.371.21–5.217.15–15.58safer5.37–10.950.68–5.746.05–16.69
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.1637.70safe55.37–68.9530.92–44.49safer53.70–70.6229.25–46.16
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction585352937safe518–652286–419804–1071safer500–671268–436768–1107
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction75.8466.47safe71.81–79.8762.15–70.80safer70.52–81.1660.84–72.11
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2611.3220.59safe6.43–12.108.38–14.2714.80–26.37safer5.67–12.867.63–15.0213.30–27.87
Offsides
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.633.08safe0.28–2.610.54–2.720.82–5.33safer0.00–2.910.25–3.010.23–5.92
Yellow cards
21%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.182.133.31safe0.13–2.231.00–3.261.13–5.49safer0.00–2.500.71–3.550.57–6.04
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.75
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.325.467.78safe0.88–3.753.91–7.024.79–10.77safer0.49–4.143.48–7.443.97–11.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.38 1.41–3.35 1.16–3.60 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.02 | 3.32 1.50–5.14 1.02–5.62 | 69% 18% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.70 5.83–9.56 5.35–10.05 | 3.11 1.37–4.85 0.90–5.32 | 10.81 7.20–14.41 6.25–15.37 | 90% |
| Total shots | 22.10 18.17–26.02 17.08–27.11 | 8.79 5.23–12.36 4.27–13.32 | 30.89 23.40–38.38 21.35–40.43 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.73 11.78–17.67 10.96–18.50 | 5.85 3.17–8.53 2.43–9.27 | 20.58 14.95–26.20 13.39–27.77 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 6.20 4.32–8.08 3.77–8.62 | 2.33 0.68–3.98 0.19–4.48 | 8.53 4.99–12.06 3.96–13.10 | 88% |
| Corners | 8.16 5.95–10.37 5.37–10.95 | 3.21 1.21–5.21 0.68–5.74 | 11.37 7.15–15.58 6.05–16.69 | 91% |
| Possession % | 62.16 55.37–68.95 53.70–70.62 | 37.70 30.92–44.49 29.25–46.16 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 585 518–652 500–671 | 352 286–419 268–436 | 937 804–1071 768–1107 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.84 71.81–79.87 70.52–81.16 | 66.47 62.15–70.80 60.84–72.11 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 9.26 6.43–12.10 5.67–12.86 | 11.32 8.38–14.27 7.63–15.02 | 20.59 14.80–26.37 13.30–27.87 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.28–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.63 0.54–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.08 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.23 0.00–2.50 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.31 1.13–5.49 0.57–6.04 | 21% 21% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 5.46 3.91–7.02 3.48–7.44 | 7.78 4.79–10.77 3.97–11.58 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+