Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
18%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.172.393.57safe0.21–2.141.54–3.251.74–5.39safer0.00–2.391.31–3.471.26–5.87
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.677.1310.80safe1.81–5.535.39–8.877.20–14.41safer1.32–6.024.92–9.346.24–15.36
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3919.2429.63safe6.47–14.3215.68–22.8022.14–37.12safer5.38–15.4114.72–23.7620.09–39.17
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8312.0118.84safe3.89–9.779.33–14.6913.22–24.46safer3.06–10.608.59–15.4311.65–26.03
Blocked shots
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.185.618.80safe1.30–5.073.96–7.275.26–12.33safer0.76–5.613.47–7.764.23–13.37
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction4.136.6810.81safe1.91–6.344.68–8.686.60–15.02safer1.34–6.924.15–9.215.49–16.13
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.2560.19safe32.46–46.0453.40–66.97safer30.79–47.7151.73–68.64
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction379539918safe312–446472–605784–1051safer294–464455–623748–1087
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction61.6676.84safe57.63–65.6972.51–81.16safer56.34–66.9871.20–82.47
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction10.979.7920.76safe8.14–13.816.84–12.7314.98–26.54safer7.38–14.576.09–13.4813.47–28.05
Offsides
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.272.93safe0.51–2.830.17–2.360.68–5.19safer0.21–3.130.00–2.650.09–5.78
Yellow cards
45%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.403.13safe0.68–2.780.27–2.530.95–5.31safer0.41–3.040.00–2.820.39–5.86
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.060.15safe0.00–0.250.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.380.00–0.78
GK saves
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.737.17safe3.00–5.881.18–4.294.18–10.17safer2.62–6.260.75–4.713.37–10.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.21–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 2.39 1.54–3.25 1.31–3.47 | 3.57 1.74–5.39 1.26–5.87 | 17% 18% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.67 1.81–5.53 1.32–6.02 | 7.13 5.39–8.87 4.92–9.34 | 10.80 7.20–14.41 6.24–15.36 | 82% |
| Total shots | 10.39 6.47–14.32 5.38–15.41 | 19.24 15.68–22.80 14.72–23.76 | 29.63 22.14–37.12 20.09–39.17 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 6.83 3.89–9.77 3.06–10.60 | 12.01 9.33–14.69 8.59–15.43 | 18.84 13.22–24.46 11.65–26.03 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 3.18 1.30–5.07 0.76–5.61 | 5.61 3.96–7.27 3.47–7.76 | 8.80 5.26–12.33 4.23–13.37 | 16% 74% |
| Corners | 4.13 1.91–6.34 1.34–6.92 | 6.68 4.68–8.68 4.15–9.21 | 10.81 6.60–15.02 5.49–16.13 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 39.25 32.46–46.04 30.79–47.71 | 60.19 53.40–66.97 51.73–68.64 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 379 312–446 294–464 | 539 472–605 455–623 | 918 784–1051 748–1087 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.66 57.63–65.69 56.34–66.98 | 76.84 72.51–81.16 71.20–82.47 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.97 8.14–13.81 7.38–14.57 | 9.79 6.84–12.73 6.09–13.48 | 20.76 14.98–26.54 13.47–28.05 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.27 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 2.93 0.68–5.19 0.09–5.78 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 1.40 0.27–2.53 0.00–2.82 | 3.13 0.95–5.31 0.39–5.86 | 45% 23% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.44 3.00–5.88 2.62–6.26 | 2.73 1.18–4.29 0.75–4.71 | 7.17 4.18–10.17 3.37–10.98 | 67% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.