Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.192.073.26safe0.22–2.161.22–2.931.44–5.08safer0.00–2.410.99–3.160.96–5.56
Shots on target
19%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction4.026.3510.37safe2.15–5.884.61–8.096.76–13.97safer1.66–6.374.14–8.565.81–14.93
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5816.1327.71safe7.65–15.5012.57–19.6920.22–35.20safer6.56–16.5911.61–20.6518.17–37.25
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9910.9817.98safe4.05–9.938.30–13.6712.35–23.60safer3.22–10.767.57–14.4010.79–25.17
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.245.018.25safe1.36–5.123.36–6.664.71–11.78safer0.81–5.662.87–7.163.68–12.82
Corners
23%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.246.1310.37safe2.03–6.454.13–8.136.16–14.58safer1.45–7.033.60–8.665.05–15.69
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction41.5359.29safe34.74–48.3252.50–66.07safer33.07–49.9950.83–67.74
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction373563936safe305–440497–630802–1070safer287–458479–647767–1105
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction64.6779.42safe60.64–68.7075.10–83.75safer59.35–69.9973.79–85.06
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6010.4019.99safe6.76–12.437.45–13.3414.21–25.77safer6.00–13.196.70–14.0912.71–27.28
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.553.42safe0.71–3.030.45–2.641.16–5.67safer0.41–3.330.16–2.930.57–6.26
Yellow cards
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.512.95safe0.39–2.490.38–2.640.77–5.13safer0.13–2.760.09–2.930.21–5.69
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
58%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.952.906.85safe2.52–5.391.34–4.453.86–9.84safer2.13–5.780.92–4.883.05–10.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 2.07 1.22–2.93 0.99–3.16 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 21% 21% 58% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.15–5.88 1.66–6.37 | 6.35 4.61–8.09 4.14–8.56 | 10.37 6.76–13.97 5.81–14.93 | 19% 72% |
| Total shots | 11.58 7.65–15.50 6.56–16.59 | 16.13 12.57–19.69 11.61–20.65 | 27.71 20.22–35.20 18.17–37.25 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 6.99 4.05–9.93 3.22–10.76 | 10.98 8.30–13.67 7.57–14.40 | 17.98 12.35–23.60 10.79–25.17 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 3.24 1.36–5.12 0.81–5.66 | 5.01 3.36–6.66 2.87–7.16 | 8.25 4.71–11.78 3.68–12.82 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 4.24 2.03–6.45 1.45–7.03 | 6.13 4.13–8.13 3.60–8.66 | 10.37 6.16–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 23% 67% |
| Possession % | 41.53 34.74–48.32 33.07–49.99 | 59.29 52.50–66.07 50.83–67.74 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 373 305–440 287–458 | 563 497–630 479–647 | 936 802–1070 767–1105 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.67 60.64–68.70 59.35–69.99 | 79.42 75.10–83.75 73.79–85.06 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 9.60 6.76–12.43 6.00–13.19 | 10.40 7.45–13.34 6.70–14.09 | 19.99 14.21–25.77 12.71–27.28 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.93 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.51 0.38–2.64 0.09–2.93 | 2.95 0.77–5.13 0.21–5.69 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.95 2.52–5.39 2.13–5.78 | 2.90 1.34–4.45 0.92–4.88 | 6.85 3.86–9.84 3.05–10.65 | 58% 14% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.