Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.420.913.34safe1.45–3.390.06–1.771.51–5.16safer1.20–3.640.00–2.001.03–5.64
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.683.189.86safe4.82–8.541.44–4.926.25–13.46safer4.33–9.030.97–5.395.30–14.42
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.158.9828.13safe15.23–23.085.41–12.5420.64–35.62safer14.14–24.174.45–13.5018.59–37.67
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction13.016.4819.49safe10.07–15.953.80–9.1613.87–25.11safer9.24–16.783.06–9.9012.30–26.68
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.722.708.42safe3.84–7.601.05–4.354.89–11.96safer3.30–8.150.56–4.853.85–12.99
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.093.3011.38safe5.87–10.301.30–5.307.17–15.60safer5.30–10.870.76–5.836.06–16.70
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction63.8135.62safe57.02–70.6028.84–42.41safer55.35–72.2727.17–44.08
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction636335971safe569–703268–401837–1104safer551–721251–419801–1140
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction79.5768.14safe75.54–83.6063.82–72.46safer74.25–84.8962.51–73.77
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4810.2719.75safe6.64–12.317.33–13.2213.97–25.53safer5.88–13.076.58–13.9712.46–27.04
Offsides
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.643.14safe0.34–2.670.54–2.730.89–5.40safer0.04–2.970.26–3.020.30–5.99
Yellow cards
25%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.792.98safe0.14–2.240.66–2.920.80–5.15safer0.00–2.510.37–3.210.24–5.71
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.130.16safe0.00–0.200.00–0.310.00–0.51safer0.00–0.350.00–0.450.00–0.79
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.314.246.56safe0.88–3.752.69–5.803.56–9.55safer0.49–4.142.26–6.222.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.42 1.45–3.39 1.20–3.64 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 3.34 1.51–5.16 1.03–5.64 | 71% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.68 4.82–8.54 4.33–9.03 | 3.18 1.44–4.92 0.97–5.39 | 9.86 6.25–13.46 5.30–14.42 | 83% |
| Total shots | 19.15 15.23–23.08 14.14–24.17 | 8.98 5.41–12.54 4.45–13.50 | 28.13 20.64–35.62 18.59–37.67 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.01 10.07–15.95 9.24–16.78 | 6.48 3.80–9.16 3.06–9.90 | 19.49 13.87–25.11 12.30–26.68 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.72 3.84–7.60 3.30–8.15 | 2.70 1.05–4.35 0.56–4.85 | 8.42 4.89–11.96 3.85–12.99 | 81% |
| Corners | 8.09 5.87–10.30 5.30–10.87 | 3.30 1.30–5.30 0.76–5.83 | 11.38 7.17–15.60 6.06–16.70 | 90% |
| Possession % | 63.81 57.02–70.60 55.35–72.27 | 35.62 28.84–42.41 27.17–44.08 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 636 569–703 551–721 | 335 268–401 251–419 | 971 837–1104 801–1140 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.57 75.54–83.60 74.25–84.89 | 68.14 63.82–72.46 62.51–73.77 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 9.48 6.64–12.31 5.88–13.07 | 10.27 7.33–13.22 6.58–13.97 | 19.75 13.97–25.53 12.46–27.04 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.67 0.04–2.97 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.14 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.24 0.00–2.51 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 2.98 0.80–5.15 0.24–5.71 | 25% 23% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.31 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 4.24 2.69–5.80 2.26–6.22 | 6.56 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.