Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.950.972.92safe0.99–2.920.11–1.821.10–4.74safer0.74–3.170.00–2.050.62–5.22
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.369.49safe4.27–8.001.61–5.105.89–13.10safer3.78–8.491.15–5.574.93–14.05
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1511.0928.23safe13.22–21.077.52–14.6520.75–35.72safer12.13–22.166.56–15.6118.70–37.77
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.287.4118.70safe8.34–14.224.73–10.0913.07–24.32safer7.51–15.054.00–10.8311.51–25.89
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.633.047.68safe2.75–6.521.39–4.704.14–11.21safer2.21–7.060.90–5.193.11–12.25
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.494.2010.69safe4.27–8.702.20–6.206.48–14.90safer3.70–9.281.67–6.735.37–16.01
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction55.6843.93safe48.89–62.4737.15–50.72safer47.22–64.1435.48–52.39
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction497387884safe430–564321–454751–1018safer412–582303–471715–1054
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction72.5569.65safe68.52–76.5865.33–73.97safer67.23–77.8764.02–75.28
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3510.7122.07safe8.52–14.197.77–13.6616.29–27.85safer7.76–14.957.02–14.4114.78–29.35
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.312.82safe0.35–2.670.22–2.410.57–5.08safer0.05–2.970.00–2.690.00–5.66
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.672.98safe0.27–2.360.54–2.790.80–5.16safer0.00–2.630.25–3.090.24–5.72
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
21%
13%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.644.236.87safe1.20–4.072.67–5.783.87–9.86safer0.81–4.462.25–6.213.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.99–2.92 0.74–3.17 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.13 4.27–8.00 3.78–8.49 | 3.36 1.61–5.10 1.15–5.57 | 9.49 5.89–13.10 4.93–14.05 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 17.15 13.22–21.07 12.13–22.16 | 11.09 7.52–14.65 6.56–15.61 | 28.23 20.75–35.72 18.70–37.77 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 11.28 8.34–14.22 7.51–15.05 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 4.00–10.83 | 18.70 13.07–24.32 11.51–25.89 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.75–6.52 2.21–7.06 | 3.04 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 7.68 4.14–11.21 3.11–12.25 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.49 4.27–8.70 3.70–9.28 | 4.20 2.20–6.20 1.67–6.73 | 10.69 6.48–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 55.68 48.89–62.47 47.22–64.14 | 43.93 37.15–50.72 35.48–52.39 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 497 430–564 412–582 | 387 321–454 303–471 | 884 751–1018 715–1054 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.55 68.52–76.58 67.23–77.87 | 69.65 65.33–73.97 64.02–75.28 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.52–14.19 7.76–14.95 | 10.71 7.77–13.66 7.02–14.41 | 22.07 16.29–27.85 14.78–29.35 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.31 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.69 | 2.82 0.57–5.08 0.00–5.66 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 1.67 0.54–2.79 0.25–3.09 | 2.98 0.80–5.16 0.24–5.72 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 4.23 2.67–5.78 2.25–6.21 | 6.87 3.87–9.86 3.06–10.67 | 21% 13% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+