Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.863.10safe0.27–2.211.00–2.711.28–4.92safer0.02–2.460.78–2.940.80–5.40
Shots on target
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.235.509.73safe2.37–6.093.76–7.246.13–13.34safer1.88–6.583.29–7.715.17–14.29
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8315.0327.86safe8.91–16.7611.46–18.5920.37–35.35safer7.82–17.8510.50–19.5518.32–37.40
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4210.2818.70safe5.48–11.367.60–12.9613.08–24.32safer4.65–12.196.86–13.7011.51–25.89
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.257.21safe2.08–5.851.59–4.903.68–10.75safer1.54–6.391.10–5.392.64–11.78
Corners
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.845.4010.24safe2.62–7.053.40–7.406.02–14.45safer2.05–7.632.86–7.934.91–15.56
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.7354.75safe38.94–52.5247.96–61.53safer37.27–54.1946.29–63.20
Passes
31%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction410467877safe342–477401–534743–1011safer324–495383–551708–1046
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction66.5873.46safe62.55–70.6169.13–77.78safer61.26–71.9067.83–79.09
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1111.5921.70safe7.28–12.958.64–14.5315.92–27.48safer6.52–13.717.89–15.2814.41–28.99
Offsides
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.322.72safe0.24–2.560.23–2.420.47–4.97safer0.00–2.860.00–2.710.00–5.56
Yellow cards
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.713.09safe0.33–2.430.58–2.840.91–5.27safer0.06–2.690.29–3.130.35–5.82
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.862.936.78safe2.42–5.291.37–4.483.79–9.78safer2.03–5.680.95–4.912.98–10.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.86 1.00–2.71 0.78–2.94 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 5.50 3.76–7.24 3.29–7.71 | 9.73 6.13–13.34 5.17–14.29 | 28% 60% |
| Total shots | 12.83 8.91–16.76 7.82–17.85 | 15.03 11.46–18.59 10.50–19.55 | 27.86 20.37–35.35 18.32–37.40 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 8.42 5.48–11.36 4.65–12.19 | 10.28 7.60–12.96 6.86–13.70 | 18.70 13.08–24.32 11.51–25.89 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.08–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 3.25 1.59–4.90 1.10–5.39 | 7.21 3.68–10.75 2.64–11.78 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 4.84 2.62–7.05 2.05–7.63 | 5.40 3.40–7.40 2.86–7.93 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.91–15.56 | 37% 51% |
| Possession % | 45.73 38.94–52.52 37.27–54.19 | 54.75 47.96–61.53 46.29–63.20 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 410 342–477 324–495 | 467 401–534 383–551 | 877 743–1011 708–1046 | 31% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.58 62.55–70.61 61.26–71.90 | 73.46 69.13–77.78 67.83–79.09 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 10.11 7.28–12.95 6.52–13.71 | 11.59 8.64–14.53 7.89–15.28 | 21.70 15.92–27.48 14.41–28.99 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 1.32 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 2.72 0.47–4.97 0.00–5.56 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.69 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.35–5.82 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.86 2.42–5.29 2.03–5.68 | 2.93 1.37–4.48 0.95–4.91 | 6.78 3.79–9.78 2.98–10.59 | 56% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+