Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.082.68safe0.63–2.560.23–1.940.85–4.50safer0.37–2.810.00–2.170.37–4.98
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.683.799.46safe3.81–7.542.04–5.535.86–13.07safer3.32–8.031.58–6.004.90–14.02
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3312.4927.82safe11.41–19.268.93–16.0520.34–35.31safer10.32–20.357.97–17.0118.29–37.36
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.767.6417.40safe6.82–12.714.96–10.3211.78–23.02safer5.99–13.534.22–11.0610.21–24.59
Blocked shots
54%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.317.42safe2.23–5.991.66–4.963.89–10.96safer1.69–6.541.17–5.462.85–11.99
Corners
57%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.974.9010.87safe3.76–8.182.90–6.906.65–15.08safer3.18–8.762.36–7.435.55–16.19
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction51.9847.91safe45.18–58.7741.13–54.70safer43.52–60.4439.46–56.37
Passes
66%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction458407865safe391–525341–474732–999safer373–544323–491696–1035
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction66.3968.01safe62.36–70.4163.69–72.33safer61.06–71.7162.38–73.64
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2211.4623.67safe9.38–15.068.51–14.4017.89–29.46safer8.62–15.817.76–15.1516.39–30.96
Offsides
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.172.62safe0.28–2.600.08–2.270.36–4.87safer0.00–2.900.00–2.560.00–5.46
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.883.32safe0.39–2.490.75–3.011.14–5.50safer0.12–2.760.46–3.300.59–6.06
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.626.25safe1.19–4.062.07–5.183.26–9.24safer0.80–4.451.64–5.602.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.63–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.68 3.81–7.54 3.32–8.03 | 3.79 2.04–5.53 1.58–6.00 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.33 11.41–19.26 10.32–20.35 | 12.49 8.93–16.05 7.97–17.01 | 27.82 20.34–35.31 18.29–37.36 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.76 6.82–12.71 5.99–13.53 | 7.64 4.96–10.32 4.22–11.06 | 17.40 11.78–23.02 10.21–24.59 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.69–6.54 | 3.31 1.66–4.96 1.17–5.46 | 7.42 3.89–10.96 2.85–11.99 | 54% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.18 3.18–8.76 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.36–7.43 | 10.87 6.65–15.08 5.55–16.19 | 57% 32% |
| Possession % | 51.98 45.18–58.77 43.52–60.44 | 47.91 41.13–54.70 39.46–56.37 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 458 391–525 373–544 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 66% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.39 62.36–70.41 61.06–71.71 | 68.01 63.69–72.33 62.38–73.64 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 12.22 9.38–15.06 8.62–15.81 | 11.46 8.51–14.40 7.76–15.15 | 23.67 17.89–29.46 16.39–30.96 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.17 0.08–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 2.62 0.36–4.87 0.00–5.46 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.12–2.76 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.62 2.07–5.18 1.64–5.60 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.