Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.392.66safe0.30–2.240.54–2.240.84–4.48safer0.05–2.490.31–2.470.36–4.96
Shots on target
42%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.739.38safe2.79–6.522.98–6.475.78–12.99safer2.30–7.012.52–6.944.82–13.94
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2014.1128.31safe10.27–18.1210.55–17.6820.82–35.80safer9.18–19.219.59–18.6418.77–37.85
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.499.3717.86safe5.55–11.436.69–12.0612.24–23.49safer4.72–12.265.96–12.7910.67–25.05
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.953.797.74safe2.07–5.842.14–5.444.21–11.28safer1.53–6.381.64–5.933.17–12.31
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.125.1610.28safe2.91–7.343.16–7.166.07–14.49safer2.34–7.912.62–7.694.96–15.60
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.4650.58safe42.67–56.2543.79–57.36safer41.00–57.9242.12–59.03
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction416427843safe349–483360–493709–976safer331–502343–511673–1012
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction64.6568.22safe60.62–68.6863.90–72.55safer59.33–69.9762.59–73.86
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0013.3924.39safe8.16–13.8410.44–16.3318.61–30.17safer7.41–14.609.70–17.0817.10–31.68
Offsides
42%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.272.73safe0.30–2.620.17–2.360.48–4.99safer0.00–2.930.00–2.650.00–5.57
Yellow cards
32%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.843.37safe0.47–2.570.71–2.971.19–5.54safer0.21–2.840.42–3.260.63–6.10
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.356.44safe1.66–4.531.79–4.903.45–9.44safer1.27–4.921.36–5.332.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.39 0.54–2.24 0.31–2.47 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.79–6.52 2.30–7.01 | 4.73 2.98–6.47 2.52–6.94 | 9.38 5.78–12.99 4.82–13.94 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.20 10.27–18.12 9.18–19.21 | 14.11 10.55–17.68 9.59–18.64 | 28.31 20.82–35.80 18.77–37.85 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.49 5.55–11.43 4.72–12.26 | 9.37 6.69–12.06 5.96–12.79 | 17.86 12.24–23.49 10.67–25.05 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.95 2.07–5.84 1.53–6.38 | 3.79 2.14–5.44 1.64–5.93 | 7.74 4.21–11.28 3.17–12.31 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.91–7.34 2.34–7.91 | 5.16 3.16–7.16 2.62–7.69 | 10.28 6.07–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 49.46 42.67–56.25 41.00–57.92 | 50.58 43.79–57.36 42.12–59.03 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 331–502 | 427 360–493 343–511 | 843 709–976 673–1012 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.65 60.62–68.68 59.33–69.97 | 68.22 63.90–72.55 62.59–73.86 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.16–13.84 7.41–14.60 | 13.39 10.44–16.33 9.70–17.08 | 24.39 18.61–30.17 17.10–31.68 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.93 | 1.27 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 2.73 0.48–4.99 0.00–5.57 | 42% 26% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.37 1.19–5.54 0.63–6.10 | 32% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 3.35 1.79–4.90 1.36–5.33 | 6.44 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.