Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.122.333.45safe0.15–2.091.48–3.191.63–5.27safer0.00–2.341.25–3.411.15–5.75
Shots on target
21%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.346.5310.87safe2.48–6.204.79–8.277.26–14.47safer1.99–6.694.32–8.746.31–15.43
Total shots
23%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9417.6431.58safe10.02–17.8714.07–21.2024.09–39.06safer8.93–18.9613.11–22.1622.04–41.11
Shots in box
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5511.9920.54safe5.60–11.499.31–14.6714.91–26.16safer4.78–12.328.57–15.4113.35–27.73
Blocked shots
33%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.764.548.30safe1.88–5.642.88–6.194.76–11.84safer1.34–6.192.39–6.683.73–12.87
Corners
20%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction4.296.5810.86safe2.07–6.504.58–8.586.65–15.08safer1.50–7.074.04–9.115.54–16.18
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.3056.67safe36.51–50.0949.88–63.45safer34.84–51.7648.21–65.12
Passes
19%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction384488872safe317–452421–554738–1006safer299–470404–572703–1041
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction67.0976.33safe63.06–71.1272.01–80.65safer61.77–72.4170.70–81.96
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4110.6223.03safe9.57–15.257.67–13.5617.25–28.81safer8.82–16.016.92–14.3115.74–30.32
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.633.51safe0.72–3.040.53–2.721.26–5.77safer0.42–3.350.25–3.010.67–6.35
Yellow cards
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.473.26safe0.74–2.840.34–2.601.08–5.44safer0.48–3.110.05–2.890.53–6.00
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.403.087.49safe2.97–5.841.53–4.644.49–10.48safer2.58–6.231.10–5.063.68–11.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 2.33 1.48–3.19 1.25–3.41 | 3.45 1.63–5.27 1.15–5.75 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.48–6.20 1.99–6.69 | 6.53 4.79–8.27 4.32–8.74 | 10.87 7.26–14.47 6.31–15.43 | 21% 70% |
| Total shots | 13.94 10.02–17.87 8.93–18.96 | 17.64 14.07–21.20 13.11–22.16 | 31.58 24.09–39.06 22.04–41.11 | 23% 72% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.60–11.49 4.78–12.32 | 11.99 9.31–14.67 8.57–15.41 | 20.54 14.91–26.16 13.35–27.73 | 19% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.88–5.64 1.34–6.19 | 4.54 2.88–6.19 2.39–6.68 | 8.30 4.76–11.84 3.73–12.87 | 33% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.07–6.50 1.50–7.07 | 6.58 4.58–8.58 4.04–9.11 | 10.86 6.65–15.08 5.54–16.18 | 20% 71% |
| Possession % | 43.30 36.51–50.09 34.84–51.76 | 56.67 49.88–63.45 48.21–65.12 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 384 317–452 299–470 | 488 421–554 404–572 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 19% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.09 63.06–71.12 61.77–72.41 | 76.33 72.01–80.65 70.70–81.96 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.41 9.57–15.25 8.82–16.01 | 10.62 7.67–13.56 6.92–14.31 | 23.03 17.25–28.81 15.74–30.32 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.35 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.51 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.35 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 1.47 0.34–2.60 0.05–2.89 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.40 2.97–5.84 2.58–6.23 | 3.08 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 7.49 4.49–10.48 3.68–11.29 | 62% 13% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.