Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.631.033.66safe1.66–3.600.17–1.881.83–5.48safer1.41–3.850.00–2.111.35–5.96
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.193.8511.04safe5.33–9.062.10–5.597.44–14.65safer4.84–9.551.64–6.066.48–15.60
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction20.2610.8731.13safe16.34–24.187.31–14.4323.64–38.62safer15.24–25.286.35–15.3921.59–40.67
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction13.647.0120.65safe10.70–16.584.33–9.6915.02–26.27safer9.87–17.413.59–10.4313.46–27.84
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.692.938.62safe3.81–7.571.28–4.595.09–12.16safer3.26–8.110.79–5.084.05–13.19
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.293.6510.94safe5.07–9.501.65–5.656.72–15.15safer4.50–10.071.12–6.195.62–16.26
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.9940.49safe53.20–66.7833.71–47.28safer51.53–68.4532.04–48.95
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction551368919safe484–618302–435786–1053safer466–636284–452750–1089
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction76.4670.77safe72.43–80.4966.45–75.09safer71.14–81.7865.14–76.40
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0012.3922.39safe7.17–12.849.44–15.3316.61–28.17safer6.41–13.608.69–16.0815.10–29.67
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.843.48safe0.48–2.800.74–2.931.22–5.73safer0.18–3.100.45–3.220.63–6.32
Yellow cards
21%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.872.93safe0.01–2.110.74–3.000.75–5.11safer0.00–2.380.45–3.290.19–5.66
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.715.007.71safe1.27–4.153.44–6.554.71–10.70safer0.89–4.533.02–6.983.90–11.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.63 1.66–3.60 1.41–3.85 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 3.66 1.83–5.48 1.35–5.96 | 72% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.19 5.33–9.06 4.84–9.55 | 3.85 2.10–5.59 1.64–6.06 | 11.04 7.44–14.65 6.48–15.60 | 81% |
| Total shots | 20.26 16.34–24.18 15.24–25.28 | 10.87 7.31–14.43 6.35–15.39 | 31.13 23.64–38.62 21.59–40.67 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 13.64 10.70–16.58 9.87–17.41 | 7.01 4.33–9.69 3.59–10.43 | 20.65 15.02–26.27 13.46–27.84 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.69 3.81–7.57 3.26–8.11 | 2.93 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 8.62 5.09–12.16 4.05–13.19 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.29 5.07–9.50 4.50–10.07 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.12–6.19 | 10.94 6.72–15.15 5.62–16.26 | 83% |
| Possession % | 59.99 53.20–66.78 51.53–68.45 | 40.49 33.71–47.28 32.04–48.95 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 551 484–618 466–636 | 368 302–435 284–452 | 919 786–1053 750–1089 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.46 72.43–80.49 71.14–81.78 | 70.77 66.45–75.09 65.14–76.40 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 10.00 7.17–12.84 6.41–13.60 | 12.39 9.44–15.33 8.69–16.08 | 22.39 16.61–28.17 15.10–29.67 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.84 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.22 | 3.48 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.06 0.01–2.11 0.00–2.38 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 2.93 0.75–5.11 0.19–5.66 | 21% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.27–4.15 0.89–4.53 | 5.00 3.44–6.55 3.02–6.98 | 7.71 4.71–10.70 3.90–11.51 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+