Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.282.62safe0.36–2.300.43–2.140.79–4.44safer0.11–2.550.20–2.370.31–4.92
Shots on target
45%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.298.69safe2.54–6.262.55–6.035.09–12.30safer2.05–6.752.08–6.504.13–13.25
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7512.5826.33safe9.82–17.679.02–16.1418.84–33.81safer8.73–18.768.06–17.1016.79–35.86
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.708.4217.13safe5.76–11.655.74–11.1011.50–22.75safer4.93–12.485.00–11.849.94–24.32
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.567.23safe1.79–5.551.91–5.213.69–10.76safer1.24–6.091.41–5.702.66–11.80
Corners
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.145.4410.58safe2.92–7.353.44–7.446.37–14.80safer2.35–7.932.91–7.985.26–15.90
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.9349.86safe44.14–57.7243.07–56.64safer42.47–59.3941.40–58.31
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction436415851safe369–503348–481717–984safer351–521331–499681–1020
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction67.2571.22safe63.22–71.2866.90–75.55safer61.93–72.5865.59–76.85
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2412.3722.62safe7.41–13.089.43–15.3216.84–28.40safer6.65–13.848.68–16.0715.33–29.91
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.643.34safe0.54–2.860.55–2.731.09–5.59safer0.24–3.160.26–3.020.50–6.18
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.823.41safe0.53–2.630.69–2.951.23–5.58safer0.27–2.900.40–3.240.67–6.14
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.915.85safe1.51–4.381.35–4.472.86–8.84safer1.12–4.770.93–4.892.05–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.62 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.26 2.05–6.75 | 4.29 2.55–6.03 2.08–6.50 | 8.69 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.25 | 45% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.75 9.82–17.67 8.73–18.76 | 12.58 9.02–16.14 8.06–17.10 | 26.33 18.84–33.81 16.79–35.86 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.70 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.48 | 8.42 5.74–11.10 5.00–11.84 | 17.13 11.50–22.75 9.94–24.32 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.56 1.91–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.92–7.35 2.35–7.93 | 5.44 3.44–7.44 2.91–7.98 | 10.58 6.37–14.80 5.26–15.90 | 40% 48% |
| Possession % | 50.93 44.14–57.72 42.47–59.39 | 49.86 43.07–56.64 41.40–58.31 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–521 | 415 348–481 331–499 | 851 717–984 681–1020 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.25 63.22–71.28 61.93–72.58 | 71.22 66.90–75.55 65.59–76.85 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.24 7.41–13.08 6.65–13.84 | 12.37 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.07 | 22.62 16.84–28.40 15.33–29.91 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.34 1.09–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.41 1.23–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 2.91 1.35–4.47 0.93–4.89 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.05–9.65 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+