Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.192.76safe0.60–2.530.34–2.050.93–4.58safer0.35–2.780.11–2.270.45–5.06
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.169.41safe3.38–7.112.42–5.915.80–13.01safer2.89–7.601.96–6.374.85–13.97
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0812.4028.47safe12.15–20.008.84–15.9620.99–35.96safer11.06–21.097.88–16.9218.94–38.01
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.617.7618.37safe7.67–13.555.08–10.4412.75–23.99safer6.84–14.384.34–11.1811.18–25.56
Blocked shots
51%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.003.457.45safe2.12–5.881.80–5.103.92–10.99safer1.58–6.431.31–5.602.88–12.02
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.884.5710.44safe3.66–8.092.57–6.576.23–14.66safer3.09–8.662.03–7.105.12–15.76
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.7847.27safe45.98–59.5740.49–54.06safer44.32–61.2438.82–55.73
Passes
64%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction464420884safe397–531353–486750–1017safer379–550336–504714–1053
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction69.5369.12safe65.50–73.5664.80–73.45safer64.21–74.8563.49–74.76
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4611.4322.89safe8.62–14.308.48–14.3717.10–28.67safer7.87–15.057.73–15.1215.60–30.17
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.623.33safe0.55–2.870.53–2.711.07–5.58safer0.24–3.170.24–3.000.48–6.17
Yellow cards
32%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.833.32safe0.45–2.550.70–2.951.15–5.50safer0.18–2.810.40–3.250.59–6.06
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.606.23safe1.20–4.072.04–5.163.24–9.23safer0.81–4.461.62–5.582.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.53 0.35–2.78 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.27 | 2.76 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.24 3.38–7.11 2.89–7.60 | 4.16 2.42–5.91 1.96–6.37 | 9.41 5.80–13.01 4.85–13.97 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 16.08 12.15–20.00 11.06–21.09 | 12.40 8.84–15.96 7.88–16.92 | 28.47 20.99–35.96 18.94–38.01 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 10.61 7.67–13.55 6.84–14.38 | 7.76 5.08–10.44 4.34–11.18 | 18.37 12.75–23.99 11.18–25.56 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.12–5.88 1.58–6.43 | 3.45 1.80–5.10 1.31–5.60 | 7.45 3.92–10.99 2.88–12.02 | 51% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.88 3.66–8.09 3.09–8.66 | 4.57 2.57–6.57 2.03–7.10 | 10.44 6.23–14.66 5.12–15.76 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.78 45.98–59.57 44.32–61.24 | 47.27 40.49–54.06 38.82–55.73 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 464 397–531 379–550 | 420 353–486 336–504 | 884 750–1017 714–1053 | 64% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.53 65.50–73.56 64.21–74.85 | 69.12 64.80–73.45 63.49–74.76 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 11.46 8.62–14.30 7.87–15.05 | 11.43 8.48–14.37 7.73–15.12 | 22.89 17.10–28.67 15.60–30.17 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.24–3.17 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 1.83 0.70–2.95 0.40–3.25 | 3.32 1.15–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 32% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.60 2.04–5.16 1.62–5.58 | 6.23 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.