Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.432.92safe0.52–2.460.57–2.281.10–4.74safer0.27–2.710.35–2.510.62–5.22
Shots on target
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.689.64safe3.09–6.822.94–6.436.03–13.24safer2.60–7.312.48–6.895.08–14.20
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8412.4527.29safe10.92–18.778.89–16.0119.80–34.78safer9.83–19.867.93–16.9717.75–36.83
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.168.6417.80safe6.22–12.105.96–11.3312.18–23.43safer5.39–12.935.23–12.0610.61–24.99
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.124.178.30safe2.24–6.002.52–5.834.76–11.83safer1.70–6.552.03–6.323.72–12.87
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.8510.14safe3.07–7.502.85–6.855.92–14.35safer2.50–8.072.32–7.384.82–15.46
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.1748.70safe44.38–57.9641.91–55.48safer42.71–59.6340.24–57.15
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction455419874safe388–522352–485740–1008safer370–540335–503705–1043
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction68.0470.66safe64.01–72.0766.33–74.98safer62.72–73.3665.02–76.29
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3610.6922.06safe8.53–14.207.75–13.6416.27–27.84safer7.77–14.967.00–14.3914.77–29.34
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.653.05safe0.24–2.560.56–2.740.80–5.31safer0.00–2.870.27–3.030.21–5.90
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.873.50safe0.59–2.680.74–3.001.32–5.68safer0.32–2.950.45–3.290.77–6.24
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.316.36safe1.61–4.481.76–4.873.37–9.35safer1.22–4.871.33–5.292.56–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.35–2.51 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.82 2.60–7.31 | 4.68 2.94–6.43 2.48–6.89 | 9.64 6.03–13.24 5.08–14.20 | 47% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.84 10.92–18.77 9.83–19.86 | 12.45 8.89–16.01 7.93–16.97 | 27.29 19.80–34.78 17.75–36.83 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.16 6.22–12.10 5.39–12.93 | 8.64 5.96–11.33 5.23–12.06 | 17.80 12.18–23.43 10.61–24.99 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.00 1.70–6.55 | 4.17 2.52–5.83 2.03–6.32 | 8.30 4.76–11.83 3.72–12.87 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.07 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.32–7.38 | 10.14 5.92–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 51.17 44.38–57.96 42.71–59.63 | 48.70 41.91–55.48 40.24–57.15 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 455 388–522 370–540 | 419 352–485 335–503 | 874 740–1008 705–1043 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.04 64.01–72.07 62.72–73.36 | 70.66 66.33–74.98 65.02–76.29 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 11.36 8.53–14.20 7.77–14.96 | 10.69 7.75–13.64 7.00–14.39 | 22.06 16.27–27.84 14.77–29.34 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.87 | 1.65 0.56–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.05 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.59–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 3.31 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.29 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.56–10.16 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.