Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.392.97safe0.61–2.550.54–2.251.15–4.79safer0.36–2.800.31–2.480.67–5.27
Shots on target
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.519.83safe3.45–7.182.77–6.266.22–13.43safer2.96–7.672.31–6.725.27–14.39
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7812.7427.51safe10.85–18.709.18–16.3020.03–35.00safer9.76–19.798.22–17.2617.97–37.05
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.837.6817.51safe6.89–12.775.00–10.3611.89–23.13safer6.06–13.604.26–11.1010.32–24.70
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.487.67safe2.30–6.071.83–5.134.13–11.20safer1.76–6.611.34–5.633.09–12.24
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.7410.30safe3.36–7.782.74–6.746.09–14.52safer2.78–8.362.20–7.274.98–15.63
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.6750.11safe43.88–57.4643.32–56.89safer42.21–59.1341.65–58.57
Passes
47%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction435443878safe368–502376–509744–1011safer350–520359–527708–1047
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction68.0372.17safe64.00–72.0667.84–76.49safer62.71–73.3566.53–77.80
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2911.7322.01safe7.45–13.138.78–14.6716.23–27.80safer6.70–13.888.03–15.4214.73–29.30
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.303.08safe0.62–2.940.20–2.390.82–5.33safer0.32–3.240.00–2.680.23–5.92
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.773.31safe0.50–2.600.64–2.901.14–5.49safer0.23–2.860.35–3.190.58–6.05
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.366.29safe1.50–4.371.80–4.913.30–9.29safer1.11–4.761.38–5.342.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.31 3.45–7.18 2.96–7.67 | 4.51 2.77–6.26 2.31–6.72 | 9.83 6.22–13.43 5.27–14.39 | 54% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.78 10.85–18.70 9.76–19.79 | 12.74 9.18–16.30 8.22–17.26 | 27.51 20.03–35.00 17.97–37.05 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.83 6.89–12.77 6.06–13.60 | 7.68 5.00–10.36 4.26–11.10 | 17.51 11.89–23.13 10.32–24.70 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 3.48 1.83–5.13 1.34–5.63 | 7.67 4.13–11.20 3.09–12.24 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.78 2.78–8.36 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.20–7.27 | 10.30 6.09–14.52 4.98–15.63 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 50.67 43.88–57.46 42.21–59.13 | 50.11 43.32–56.89 41.65–58.57 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 435 368–502 350–520 | 443 376–509 359–527 | 878 744–1011 708–1047 | 47% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.03 64.00–72.06 62.71–73.35 | 72.17 67.84–76.49 66.53–77.80 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.45–13.13 6.70–13.88 | 11.73 8.78–14.67 8.03–15.42 | 22.01 16.23–27.80 14.73–29.30 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.30 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 3.08 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.23–2.86 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.31 1.14–5.49 0.58–6.05 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 3.36 1.80–4.91 1.38–5.34 | 6.29 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.