Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.433.51safe1.11–3.050.58–2.281.69–5.33safer0.86–3.300.35–2.511.21–5.81
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.014.3710.37safe4.14–7.872.63–6.116.77–13.98safer3.65–8.362.16–6.585.81–14.93
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1211.6828.80safe13.19–21.048.12–15.2421.31–36.28safer12.10–22.137.16–16.2019.26–38.33
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.537.8819.42safe8.59–14.485.20–10.5613.79–25.04safer7.76–15.304.46–11.3012.23–26.61
Blocked shots
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.197.63safe2.57–6.331.53–4.844.10–11.17safer2.02–6.871.04–5.333.06–12.21
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.853.8510.70safe4.63–9.061.85–5.856.49–14.91safer4.06–9.641.32–6.395.38–16.02
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.0441.56safe51.25–64.8334.77–48.34safer49.58–66.5033.10–50.02
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction567401968safe500–634335–468835–1102safer482–652317–485799–1138
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction74.7669.78safe70.73–78.7965.45–74.10safer69.44–80.0864.14–75.41
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9110.5920.50safe7.07–12.757.65–13.5414.72–26.28safer6.31–13.506.90–14.2913.21–27.79
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.393.14safe0.59–2.910.30–2.480.88–5.39safer0.29–3.210.01–2.770.29–5.98
Yellow cards
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.993.31safe0.27–2.370.86–3.121.14–5.49safer0.01–2.640.57–3.410.58–6.05
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.956.76safe1.37–4.242.39–5.513.76–9.75safer0.98–4.631.97–5.932.95–10.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.08 1.11–3.05 0.86–3.30 | 1.43 0.58–2.28 0.35–2.51 | 3.51 1.69–5.33 1.21–5.81 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.14–7.87 3.65–8.36 | 4.37 2.63–6.11 2.16–6.58 | 10.37 6.77–13.98 5.81–14.93 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 17.12 13.19–21.04 12.10–22.13 | 11.68 8.12–15.24 7.16–16.20 | 28.80 21.31–36.28 19.26–38.33 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 11.53 8.59–14.48 7.76–15.30 | 7.88 5.20–10.56 4.46–11.30 | 19.42 13.79–25.04 12.23–26.61 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.57–6.33 2.02–6.87 | 3.19 1.53–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.21 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 6.85 4.63–9.06 4.06–9.64 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.32–6.39 | 10.70 6.49–14.91 5.38–16.02 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 58.04 51.25–64.83 49.58–66.50 | 41.56 34.77–48.34 33.10–50.02 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 567 500–634 482–652 | 401 335–468 317–485 | 968 835–1102 799–1138 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.76 70.73–78.79 69.44–80.08 | 69.78 65.45–74.10 64.14–75.41 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 9.91 7.07–12.75 6.31–13.50 | 10.59 7.65–13.54 6.90–14.29 | 20.50 14.72–26.28 13.21–27.79 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.31 1.14–5.49 0.58–6.05 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.95 2.39–5.51 1.97–5.93 | 6.76 3.76–9.75 2.95–10.56 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.