Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.773.56safe0.82–2.760.92–2.631.74–5.39safer0.57–3.010.69–2.861.26–5.87
Shots on target
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.245.3010.54safe3.38–7.103.56–7.046.94–14.15safer2.89–7.593.09–7.515.98–15.10
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5913.6229.21safe11.67–19.5210.06–17.1821.73–36.70safer10.58–20.619.10–18.1419.68–38.75
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction10.879.6720.55safe7.93–13.826.99–12.3614.93–26.17safer7.10–14.656.26–13.0913.36–27.74
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.264.178.43safe2.37–6.142.52–5.824.89–11.96safer1.83–6.682.02–6.323.86–13.00
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.395.5010.90safe3.18–7.613.50–7.506.68–15.11safer2.61–8.182.97–8.045.58–16.22
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction48.1154.18safe41.32–54.9047.39–60.96safer39.65–56.5745.72–62.63
Passes
29%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction436500936safe369–503434–567802–1070safer350–521416–584767–1106
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction67.5675.91safe63.53–71.5971.59–80.24safer62.24–72.8870.28–81.55
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8611.6521.51safe7.03–12.708.71–14.6015.73–27.30safer6.27–13.467.96–15.3414.23–28.80
Offsides
38%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.583.14safe0.39–2.720.49–2.680.88–5.39safer0.09–3.020.20–2.960.29–5.98
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.773.32safe0.50–2.600.64–2.901.15–5.50safer0.24–2.870.35–3.190.59–6.06
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.146.45safe1.87–4.751.58–4.703.46–9.44safer1.49–5.131.16–5.122.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.76 0.57–3.01 | 1.77 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 3.56 1.74–5.39 1.26–5.87 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Shots on target | 5.24 3.38–7.10 2.89–7.59 | 5.30 3.56–7.04 3.09–7.51 | 10.54 6.94–14.15 5.98–15.10 | 43% 45% |
| Total shots | 15.59 11.67–19.52 10.58–20.61 | 13.62 10.06–17.18 9.10–18.14 | 29.21 21.73–36.70 19.68–38.75 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 10.87 7.93–13.82 7.10–14.65 | 9.67 6.99–12.36 6.26–13.09 | 20.55 14.93–26.17 13.36–27.74 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.37–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 4.17 2.52–5.82 2.02–6.32 | 8.43 4.89–11.96 3.86–13.00 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.18–7.61 2.61–8.18 | 5.50 3.50–7.50 2.97–8.04 | 10.90 6.68–15.11 5.58–16.22 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 48.11 41.32–54.90 39.65–56.57 | 54.18 47.39–60.96 45.72–62.63 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 350–521 | 500 434–567 416–584 | 936 802–1070 767–1106 | 29% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.56 63.53–71.59 62.24–72.88 | 75.91 71.59–80.24 70.28–81.55 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.86 7.03–12.70 6.27–13.46 | 11.65 8.71–14.60 7.96–15.34 | 21.51 15.73–27.30 14.23–28.80 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.72 0.09–3.02 | 1.58 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.96 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 38% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.32 1.15–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.31 1.87–4.75 1.49–5.13 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 6.45 3.46–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+