Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
18%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.212.443.65safe0.24–2.181.59–3.301.83–5.47safer0.00–2.431.36–3.521.35–5.95
Shots on target
13%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.067.2511.31safe2.20–5.935.51–8.997.71–14.92safer1.71–6.425.04–9.466.75–15.87
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3318.1529.48safe7.41–15.2614.58–21.7121.99–36.96safer6.31–16.3513.62–22.6719.94–39.01
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9412.4819.42safe4.00–9.889.80–15.1613.79–25.04safer3.17–10.719.06–15.9012.23–26.61
Blocked shots
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.225.368.57safe1.33–5.103.70–7.015.04–12.11safer0.79–5.643.21–7.504.00–13.14
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.956.6010.54safe1.74–6.164.60–8.606.33–14.76safer1.16–6.744.06–9.135.22–15.87
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.4162.31safe31.62–45.2055.53–69.10safer29.95–46.8753.86–70.77
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction360590950safe292–427524–656816–1083safer274–445506–674780–1119
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction65.9780.81safe61.94–70.0076.49–85.14safer60.65–71.3075.18–86.45
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1610.3720.53safe7.32–13.007.42–13.3114.75–26.31safer6.57–13.756.67–14.0613.24–27.82
Offsides
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.903.77safe0.71–3.030.81–2.991.51–6.02safer0.40–3.330.52–3.280.92–6.61
Yellow cards
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.373.04safe0.62–2.710.24–2.500.86–5.22safer0.35–2.980.00–2.790.30–5.77
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.382.887.26safe2.94–5.821.33–4.444.27–10.26safer2.56–6.200.90–4.873.46–11.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 2.44 1.59–3.30 1.36–3.52 | 3.65 1.83–5.47 1.35–5.95 | 17% 18% 64% |
| Shots on target | 4.06 2.20–5.93 1.71–6.42 | 7.25 5.51–8.99 5.04–9.46 | 11.31 7.71–14.92 6.75–15.87 | 13% 79% |
| Total shots | 11.33 7.41–15.26 6.31–16.35 | 18.15 14.58–21.71 13.62–22.67 | 29.48 21.99–36.96 19.94–39.01 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 6.94 4.00–9.88 3.17–10.71 | 12.48 9.80–15.16 9.06–15.90 | 19.42 13.79–25.04 12.23–26.61 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.33–5.10 0.79–5.64 | 5.36 3.70–7.01 3.21–7.50 | 8.57 5.04–12.11 4.00–13.14 | 18% 71% |
| Corners | 3.95 1.74–6.16 1.16–6.74 | 6.60 4.60–8.60 4.06–9.13 | 10.54 6.33–14.76 5.22–15.87 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 38.41 31.62–45.20 29.95–46.87 | 62.31 55.53–69.10 53.86–70.77 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 360 292–427 274–445 | 590 524–656 506–674 | 950 816–1083 780–1119 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.97 61.94–70.00 60.65–71.30 | 80.81 76.49–85.14 75.18–86.45 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.16 7.32–13.00 6.57–13.75 | 10.37 7.42–13.31 6.67–14.06 | 20.53 14.75–26.31 13.24–27.82 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 1.90 0.81–2.99 0.52–3.28 | 3.77 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.37 0.24–2.50 0.00–2.79 | 3.04 0.86–5.22 0.30–5.77 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.38 2.94–5.82 2.56–6.20 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.87 | 7.26 4.27–10.26 3.46–11.07 | 64% 13% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.