Eredivisie·Regular Season - 33·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.470.933.40safe1.50–3.430.08–1.791.58–5.22safer1.25–3.690.00–2.021.10–5.70
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.363.4410.79safe5.49–9.221.69–5.187.19–14.40safer5.00–9.711.23–5.646.23–15.35
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction20.219.3829.59safe16.29–24.145.82–12.9522.11–37.08safer15.19–25.234.86–13.9120.06–39.13
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.936.2619.19safe9.99–15.883.58–8.9413.57–24.82safer9.16–16.712.84–9.6812.00–26.39
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.882.518.39safe4.00–7.760.86–4.164.85–11.92safer3.45–8.300.36–4.653.82–12.96
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.353.0711.42safe6.13–10.561.07–5.077.21–15.63safer5.56–11.130.54–5.616.10–16.74
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.8034.63safe58.01–71.5927.84–41.41safer56.34–73.2626.17–43.08
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction653334987safe586–720268–401854–1121safer568–738250–418818–1157
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction81.4169.35safe77.38–85.4465.02–73.67safer76.09–86.7363.71–74.98
Fouls
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.039.7918.82safe6.19–11.876.85–12.7413.04–24.60safer5.43–12.626.10–13.4911.53–26.11
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.533.41safe0.72–3.040.43–2.621.15–5.66safer0.42–3.340.14–2.910.56–6.25
Yellow cards
23%
24%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.752.82safe0.03–2.130.62–2.870.65–5.00safer0.00–2.390.33–3.170.09–5.56
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.474.737.20safe1.04–3.913.17–6.294.21–10.19safer0.65–4.302.75–6.713.40–11.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.47 1.50–3.43 1.25–3.69 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.40 1.58–5.22 1.10–5.70 | 71% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.36 5.49–9.22 5.00–9.71 | 3.44 1.69–5.18 1.23–5.64 | 10.79 7.19–14.40 6.23–15.35 | 85% |
| Total shots | 20.21 16.29–24.14 15.19–25.23 | 9.38 5.82–12.95 4.86–13.91 | 29.59 22.11–37.08 20.06–39.13 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.93 9.99–15.88 9.16–16.71 | 6.26 3.58–8.94 2.84–9.68 | 19.19 13.57–24.82 12.00–26.39 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.88 4.00–7.76 3.45–8.30 | 2.51 0.86–4.16 0.36–4.65 | 8.39 4.85–11.92 3.82–12.96 | 84% |
| Corners | 8.35 6.13–10.56 5.56–11.13 | 3.07 1.07–5.07 0.54–5.61 | 11.42 7.21–15.63 6.10–16.74 | 93% |
| Possession % | 64.80 58.01–71.59 56.34–73.26 | 34.63 27.84–41.41 26.17–43.08 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 653 586–720 568–738 | 334 268–401 250–418 | 987 854–1121 818–1157 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.41 77.38–85.44 76.09–86.73 | 69.35 65.02–73.67 63.71–74.98 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 9.03 6.19–11.87 5.43–12.62 | 9.79 6.85–12.74 6.10–13.49 | 18.82 13.04–24.60 11.53–26.11 | 38% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.53 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.91 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.08 0.03–2.13 0.00–2.39 | 1.75 0.62–2.87 0.33–3.17 | 2.82 0.65–5.00 0.09–5.56 | 23% 24% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 4.73 3.17–6.29 2.75–6.71 | 7.20 4.21–10.19 3.40–11.01 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.