Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.543.26safe0.75–2.690.69–2.401.44–5.08safer0.50–2.940.46–2.630.96–5.56
Shots on target
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.8110.33safe3.67–7.393.06–6.556.73–13.94safer3.18–7.882.60–7.015.77–14.90
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3312.6127.94safe11.41–19.269.05–16.1720.46–35.43safer10.32–20.358.09–17.1318.41–37.48
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction10.358.8419.19safe7.41–13.296.16–11.5213.56–24.81safer6.58–14.125.42–12.2612.00–26.38
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.283.577.85safe2.40–6.171.92–5.224.32–11.39safer1.86–6.711.43–5.723.28–12.43
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.5110.10safe3.37–7.802.51–6.515.88–14.31safer2.80–8.371.98–7.044.78–15.42
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.0644.47safe49.27–62.8537.69–51.26safer47.60–64.5236.02–52.93
Passes
82%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction524411935safe456–591345–478801–1068safer438–609327–495765–1104
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction74.7973.18safe70.76–78.8268.86–77.50safer69.47–80.1167.55–78.81
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9612.0922.05safe7.12–12.809.15–15.0416.27–27.83safer6.37–13.558.40–15.7814.76–29.34
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.813.66safe0.69–3.010.72–2.901.41–5.91safer0.39–3.310.43–3.190.82–6.50
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.963.47safe0.46–2.550.83–3.091.29–5.65safer0.19–2.820.54–3.380.73–6.20
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
36%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.596.77safe1.75–4.622.03–5.143.78–9.76safer1.36–5.011.61–5.572.96–10.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.69 0.50–2.94 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.39 3.18–7.88 | 4.81 3.06–6.55 2.60–7.01 | 10.33 6.73–13.94 5.77–14.90 | 53% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.33 11.41–19.26 10.32–20.35 | 12.61 9.05–16.17 8.09–17.13 | 27.94 20.46–35.43 18.41–37.48 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 10.35 7.41–13.29 6.58–14.12 | 8.84 6.16–11.52 5.42–12.26 | 19.19 13.56–24.81 12.00–26.38 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.17 1.86–6.71 | 3.57 1.92–5.22 1.43–5.72 | 7.85 4.32–11.39 3.28–12.43 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.37–7.80 2.80–8.37 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 10.10 5.88–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 56.06 49.27–62.85 47.60–64.52 | 44.47 37.69–51.26 36.02–52.93 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 524 456–591 438–609 | 411 345–478 327–495 | 935 801–1068 765–1104 | 82% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.79 70.76–78.82 69.47–80.11 | 73.18 68.86–77.50 67.55–78.81 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 9.96 7.12–12.80 6.37–13.55 | 12.09 9.15–15.04 8.40–15.78 | 22.05 16.27–27.83 14.76–29.34 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.66 1.41–5.91 0.82–6.50 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.46–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.73–6.20 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 3.59 2.03–5.14 1.61–5.57 | 6.77 3.78–9.76 2.96–10.57 | 36% 15% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.