Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.463.18safe0.76–2.690.60–2.311.36–5.00safer0.50–2.940.37–2.540.88–5.48
Shots on target
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.714.3410.05safe3.85–7.572.60–6.086.44–13.65safer3.36–8.062.13–6.555.49–14.61
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0912.0228.11safe12.16–20.018.46–15.5920.63–35.60safer11.07–21.107.50–16.5518.58–37.65
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction11.107.9419.04safe8.16–14.045.26–10.6213.41–24.66safer7.33–14.874.52–11.3611.85–26.23
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.343.838.17safe2.46–6.232.18–5.484.64–11.71safer1.92–6.771.69–5.983.60–12.74
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.644.5510.19safe3.43–7.862.55–6.555.98–14.40safer2.86–8.432.01–7.084.87–15.51
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.6351.33safe41.84–55.4244.54–58.11safer40.17–57.0942.87–59.78
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction450482932safe382–517415–548798–1065safer364–535398–566762–1101
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction72.0176.89safe67.98–76.0472.56–81.21safer66.69–77.3371.25–82.52
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3110.5420.85safe7.47–13.157.60–13.4915.07–26.63safer6.72–13.906.85–14.2413.57–28.14
Offsides
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.933.76safe0.67–2.990.83–3.021.50–6.01safer0.37–3.290.55–3.310.91–6.60
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.973.39safe0.37–2.470.84–3.101.21–5.57safer0.11–2.740.55–3.390.66–6.13
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.486.56safe1.64–4.511.92–5.043.56–9.55safer1.25–4.901.50–5.462.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.76–2.69 0.50–2.94 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 3.18 1.36–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.71 3.85–7.57 3.36–8.06 | 4.34 2.60–6.08 2.13–6.55 | 10.05 6.44–13.65 5.49–14.61 | 61% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.09 12.16–20.01 11.07–21.10 | 12.02 8.46–15.59 7.50–16.55 | 28.11 20.63–35.60 18.58–37.65 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 11.10 8.16–14.04 7.33–14.87 | 7.94 5.26–10.62 4.52–11.36 | 19.04 13.41–24.66 11.85–26.23 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 3.83 2.18–5.48 1.69–5.98 | 8.17 4.64–11.71 3.60–12.74 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.86 2.86–8.43 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.01–7.08 | 10.19 5.98–14.40 4.87–15.51 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 48.63 41.84–55.42 40.17–57.09 | 51.33 44.54–58.11 42.87–59.78 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 450 382–517 364–535 | 482 415–548 398–566 | 932 798–1065 762–1101 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.01 67.98–76.04 66.69–77.33 | 76.89 72.56–81.21 71.25–82.52 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 10.31 7.47–13.15 6.72–13.90 | 10.54 7.60–13.49 6.85–14.24 | 20.85 15.07–26.63 13.57–28.14 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.93 0.83–3.02 0.55–3.31 | 3.76 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.60 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 3.48 1.92–5.04 1.50–5.46 | 6.56 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.