Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.730.723.44safe1.76–3.690.00–1.571.62–5.27safer1.51–3.940.00–1.801.14–5.75
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.902.8910.79safe6.04–9.761.15–4.637.18–14.39safer5.55–10.250.68–5.106.23–15.35
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.308.5929.89safe17.37–25.225.03–12.1622.40–37.38safer16.28–26.314.07–13.1220.35–39.43
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.355.1520.50safe12.40–18.292.47–7.8414.88–26.12safer11.57–19.121.74–8.5713.31–27.69
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.222.387.59safe3.33–7.100.73–4.034.06–11.13safer2.79–7.640.23–4.523.02–12.16
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction8.013.1811.20safe5.80–10.231.18–5.186.98–15.41safer5.23–10.800.65–5.715.87–16.52
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.2037.28safe56.41–69.9930.50–44.07safer54.74–71.6628.82–45.74
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction597359956safe530–665293–426823–1090safer512–683275–443787–1126
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction74.8366.83safe70.81–78.8662.50–71.15safer69.51–80.1661.19–72.46
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2210.8221.03safe7.38–13.057.87–13.7615.25–26.81safer6.62–13.817.12–14.5113.75–28.32
Offsides
53%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.363.37safe0.85–3.170.27–2.451.12–5.62safer0.55–3.470.00–2.740.53–6.21
Yellow cards
23%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.893.03safe0.10–2.190.76–3.010.85–5.21safer0.00–2.460.47–3.310.30–5.77
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.104.816.92safe0.67–3.543.26–6.373.92–9.91safer0.28–3.932.83–6.793.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.73 1.76–3.69 1.51–3.94 | 0.72 0.00–1.57 0.00–1.80 | 3.44 1.62–5.27 1.14–5.75 | 79% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.90 6.04–9.76 5.55–10.25 | 2.89 1.15–4.63 0.68–5.10 | 10.79 7.18–14.39 6.23–15.35 | 92% |
| Total shots | 21.30 17.37–25.22 16.28–26.31 | 8.59 5.03–12.16 4.07–13.12 | 29.89 22.40–37.38 20.35–39.43 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.35 12.40–18.29 11.57–19.12 | 5.15 2.47–7.84 1.74–8.57 | 20.50 14.88–26.12 13.31–27.69 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.22 3.33–7.10 2.79–7.64 | 2.38 0.73–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 7.59 4.06–11.13 3.02–12.16 | 80% |
| Corners | 8.01 5.80–10.23 5.23–10.80 | 3.18 1.18–5.18 0.65–5.71 | 11.20 6.98–15.41 5.87–16.52 | 91% |
| Possession % | 63.20 56.41–69.99 54.74–71.66 | 37.28 30.50–44.07 28.82–45.74 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 597 530–665 512–683 | 359 293–426 275–443 | 956 823–1090 787–1126 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.83 70.81–78.86 69.51–80.16 | 66.83 62.50–71.15 61.19–72.46 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.22 7.38–13.05 6.62–13.81 | 10.82 7.87–13.76 7.12–14.51 | 21.03 15.25–26.81 13.75–28.32 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 53% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.15 0.10–2.19 0.00–2.46 | 1.89 0.76–3.01 0.47–3.31 | 3.03 0.85–5.21 0.30–5.77 | 23% 22% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.67–3.54 0.28–3.93 | 4.81 3.26–6.37 2.83–6.79 | 6.92 3.92–9.91 3.11–10.72 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.