Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction0.922.413.33safe0.00–1.891.55–3.261.50–5.15safer0.00–2.141.32–3.491.02–5.63
Shots on target
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.165.999.15safe1.29–5.024.25–7.745.54–12.75safer0.80–5.513.79–8.204.59–13.71
Total shots
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7415.4326.17safe6.82–14.6711.86–18.9918.68–33.65safer5.72–15.7610.91–19.9516.63–35.71
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1710.8216.99safe3.23–9.118.14–13.5011.36–22.61safer2.40–9.947.40–14.249.80–24.18
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.664.597.25safe0.78–4.542.93–6.243.71–10.79safer0.24–5.092.44–6.732.68–11.82
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.946.1810.11safe1.72–6.154.18–8.185.90–14.33safer1.15–6.723.65–8.714.79–15.44
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction40.8858.66safe34.09–47.6751.88–65.45safer32.42–49.3450.21–67.12
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction390539929safe323–457472–605795–1063safer305–475455–623760–1098
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction64.8275.64safe60.79–68.8571.32–79.96safer59.50–70.1470.01–81.27
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6511.2821.93safe7.81–13.498.34–14.2316.15–27.71safer7.06–14.247.59–14.9714.64–29.22
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.973.61safe0.47–2.790.88–3.071.35–5.86safer0.17–3.090.59–3.350.76–6.45
Yellow cards
45%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.513.31safe0.75–2.850.38–2.641.13–5.48safer0.48–3.110.09–2.930.57–6.04
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
67%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.215.96safe2.32–5.190.65–3.762.97–8.96safer1.93–5.580.23–4.192.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 2.41 1.55–3.26 1.32–3.49 | 3.33 1.50–5.15 1.02–5.63 | 17% 70% |
| Shots on target | 3.16 1.29–5.02 0.80–5.51 | 5.99 4.25–7.74 3.79–8.20 | 9.15 5.54–12.75 4.59–13.71 | 13% 78% |
| Total shots | 10.74 6.82–14.67 5.72–15.76 | 15.43 11.86–18.99 10.91–19.95 | 26.17 18.68–33.65 16.63–35.71 | 15% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.17 3.23–9.11 2.40–9.94 | 10.82 8.14–13.50 7.40–14.24 | 16.99 11.36–22.61 9.80–24.18 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 2.66 0.78–4.54 0.24–5.09 | 4.59 2.93–6.24 2.44–6.73 | 7.25 3.71–10.79 2.68–11.82 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.94 1.72–6.15 1.15–6.72 | 6.18 4.18–8.18 3.65–8.71 | 10.11 5.90–14.33 4.79–15.44 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 40.88 34.09–47.67 32.42–49.34 | 58.66 51.88–65.45 50.21–67.12 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 390 323–457 305–475 | 539 472–605 455–623 | 929 795–1063 760–1098 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.82 60.79–68.85 59.50–70.14 | 75.64 71.32–79.96 70.01–81.27 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.49 7.06–14.24 | 11.28 8.34–14.23 7.59–14.97 | 21.93 16.15–27.71 14.64–29.22 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.97 0.88–3.07 0.59–3.35 | 3.61 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 1.51 0.38–2.64 0.09–2.93 | 3.31 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 45% 23% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.32–5.19 1.93–5.58 | 2.21 0.65–3.76 0.23–4.19 | 5.96 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 67% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+