Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
20%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.153.28safe1.17–3.100.29–2.001.46–5.10safer0.91–3.350.06–2.230.98–5.58
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.184.0310.21safe4.31–8.042.29–5.786.60–13.81safer3.82–8.531.83–6.245.65–14.77
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6311.3428.97safe13.70–21.557.78–14.9021.48–36.45safer12.61–22.646.82–15.8619.43–38.50
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.656.7418.40safe8.71–14.594.06–9.4212.77–24.02safer7.88–15.423.33–10.1611.21–25.59
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.873.057.91safe2.98–6.751.39–4.704.38–11.45safer2.44–7.290.90–5.193.34–12.48
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.413.9710.38safe4.19–8.621.97–5.976.16–14.59safer3.62–9.191.44–6.505.06–15.70
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.2443.66safe49.45–63.0336.87–50.44safer47.78–64.7035.20–52.11
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction516408924safe449–583341–474790–1058safer431–601324–492755–1093
Pass accuracy %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction76.1772.55safe72.14–80.2068.22–76.87safer70.85–81.4966.91–78.18
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0611.4722.54safe8.23–13.908.53–14.4216.76–28.32safer7.47–14.667.78–15.1715.25–29.83
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.823.64safe0.66–2.980.73–2.921.39–5.90safer0.36–3.280.44–3.200.80–6.49
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.893.43safe0.49–2.590.76–3.021.25–5.61safer0.22–2.850.47–3.310.69–6.17
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.996.71safe1.28–4.152.44–5.553.71–9.70safer0.89–4.542.01–5.982.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.17–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 3.28 1.46–5.10 0.98–5.58 | 60% 20% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.18 4.31–8.04 3.82–8.53 | 4.03 2.29–5.78 1.83–6.24 | 10.21 6.60–13.81 5.65–14.77 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.63 13.70–21.55 12.61–22.64 | 11.34 7.78–14.90 6.82–15.86 | 28.97 21.48–36.45 19.43–38.50 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.65 8.71–14.59 7.88–15.42 | 6.74 4.06–9.42 3.33–10.16 | 18.40 12.77–24.02 11.21–25.59 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.87 2.98–6.75 2.44–7.29 | 3.05 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 7.91 4.38–11.45 3.34–12.48 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.19–8.62 3.62–9.19 | 3.97 1.97–5.97 1.44–6.50 | 10.38 6.16–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 56.24 49.45–63.03 47.78–64.70 | 43.66 36.87–50.44 35.20–52.11 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 516 449–583 431–601 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 924 790–1058 755–1093 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.17 72.14–80.20 70.85–81.49 | 72.55 68.22–76.87 66.91–78.18 | — | 66% 30% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.23–13.90 7.47–14.66 | 11.47 8.53–14.42 7.78–15.17 | 22.54 16.76–28.32 15.25–29.83 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.20 | 3.64 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.69–6.17 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.99 2.44–5.55 2.01–5.98 | 6.71 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.