Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.813.10safe0.33–2.260.95–2.661.28–4.93safer0.07–2.510.73–2.890.80–5.40
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.5510.12safe2.70–6.433.81–7.296.51–13.72safer2.22–6.923.34–7.765.56–14.68
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9415.3329.26safe10.01–17.8611.76–18.8921.78–36.75safer8.92–18.9510.80–19.8519.73–38.80
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4810.2318.72safe5.54–11.437.55–12.9113.09–24.34safer4.71–12.266.81–13.6511.53–25.91
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.884.618.48safe1.99–5.762.95–6.264.95–12.02safer1.45–6.302.46–6.753.91–13.05
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.475.6810.15safe2.26–6.683.68–7.685.94–14.36safer1.68–7.263.15–8.224.83–15.47
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.3355.01safe38.54–52.1248.23–61.80safer36.87–53.7946.56–63.47
Passes
31%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction430488918safe363–497421–554784–1051safer345–516404–572748–1087
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction69.4277.29safe65.39–73.4572.96–81.61safer64.09–74.7471.65–82.92
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0311.2822.31safe8.19–13.878.33–14.2216.52–28.09safer7.43–14.627.59–14.9715.02–29.59
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.573.42safe0.69–3.020.47–2.661.17–5.68safer0.39–3.320.19–2.950.58–6.26
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.813.42safe0.56–2.660.68–2.941.24–5.60safer0.29–2.930.39–3.230.68–6.15
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.753.066.82safe2.32–5.191.51–4.623.82–9.81safer1.93–5.581.08–5.053.01–10.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.33–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.81 0.95–2.66 0.73–2.89 | 3.10 1.28–4.93 0.80–5.40 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.70–6.43 2.22–6.92 | 5.55 3.81–7.29 3.34–7.76 | 10.12 6.51–13.72 5.56–14.68 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 13.94 10.01–17.86 8.92–18.95 | 15.33 11.76–18.89 10.80–19.85 | 29.26 21.78–36.75 19.73–38.80 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 8.48 5.54–11.43 4.71–12.26 | 10.23 7.55–12.91 6.81–13.65 | 18.72 13.09–24.34 11.53–25.91 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 4.61 2.95–6.26 2.46–6.75 | 8.48 4.95–12.02 3.91–13.05 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.47 2.26–6.68 1.68–7.26 | 5.68 3.68–7.68 3.15–8.22 | 10.15 5.94–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 45.33 38.54–52.12 36.87–53.79 | 55.01 48.23–61.80 46.56–63.47 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 430 363–497 345–516 | 488 421–554 404–572 | 918 784–1051 748–1087 | 31% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.42 65.39–73.45 64.09–74.74 | 77.29 72.96–81.61 71.65–82.92 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.03 8.19–13.87 7.43–14.62 | 11.28 8.33–14.22 7.59–14.97 | 22.31 16.52–28.09 15.02–29.59 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.69–3.02 0.39–3.32 | 1.57 0.47–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.42 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.26 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.93 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.68–6.15 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.75 2.32–5.19 1.93–5.58 | 3.06 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.05 | 6.82 3.82–9.81 3.01–10.62 | 53% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+