Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.360.804.16safe2.39–4.330.00–1.662.34–5.99safer2.14–4.580.00–1.891.86–6.47
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction9.253.3112.56safe7.39–11.111.57–5.058.96–16.17safer6.90–11.601.10–5.528.00–17.12
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction24.288.3832.66safe20.35–28.204.82–11.9525.18–40.15safer19.26–29.293.86–12.9123.12–42.20
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction16.385.5821.96safe13.44–19.332.90–8.2616.34–27.58safer12.61–20.162.16–9.0014.77–29.15
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.592.469.05safe4.71–8.470.80–4.115.51–12.58safer4.17–9.020.31–4.604.48–13.62
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.353.0612.41safe7.14–11.571.06–5.068.20–16.63safer6.57–12.140.53–5.597.09–17.73
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.6233.32safe59.83–73.4126.54–40.11safer58.16–75.0824.86–41.78
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction652305957safe585–719238–371823–1091safer567–737221–389788–1126
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction79.5867.70safe75.55–83.6163.38–72.03safer74.26–84.9062.07–73.34
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.429.8219.23safe6.58–12.256.87–12.7613.45–25.02safer5.82–13.016.12–13.5111.95–26.52
Offsides
50%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.102.75safe0.49–2.810.00–2.190.50–5.00safer0.19–3.110.00–2.480.00–5.59
Yellow cards
19%
24%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.881.682.55safe0.00–1.920.55–2.810.38–4.73safer0.00–2.190.26–3.100.00–5.29
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
86%
homeawaytotalprediction2.325.828.14safe0.88–3.764.26–7.375.15–11.13safer0.50–4.143.84–7.804.33–11.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.36 2.39–4.33 2.14–4.58 | 0.80 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 4.16 2.34–5.99 1.86–6.47 | 85% |
| Shots on target | 9.25 7.39–11.11 6.90–11.60 | 3.31 1.57–5.05 1.10–5.52 | 12.56 8.96–16.17 8.00–17.12 | 94% |
| Total shots | 24.28 20.35–28.20 19.26–29.29 | 8.38 4.82–11.95 3.86–12.91 | 32.66 25.18–40.15 23.12–42.20 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.38 13.44–19.33 12.61–20.16 | 5.58 2.90–8.26 2.16–9.00 | 21.96 16.34–27.58 14.77–29.15 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.59 4.71–8.47 4.17–9.02 | 2.46 0.80–4.11 0.31–4.60 | 9.05 5.51–12.58 4.48–13.62 | 89% |
| Corners | 9.35 7.14–11.57 6.57–12.14 | 3.06 1.06–5.06 0.53–5.59 | 12.41 8.20–16.63 7.09–17.73 | 96% |
| Possession % | 66.62 59.83–73.41 58.16–75.08 | 33.32 26.54–40.11 24.86–41.78 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 652 585–719 567–737 | 305 238–371 221–389 | 957 823–1091 788–1126 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.58 75.55–83.61 74.26–84.90 | 67.70 63.38–72.03 62.07–73.34 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 9.42 6.58–12.25 5.82–13.01 | 9.82 6.87–12.76 6.12–13.51 | 19.23 13.45–25.02 11.95–26.52 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.10 0.00–2.19 0.00–2.48 | 2.75 0.50–5.00 0.00–5.59 | 50% 24% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 0.88 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.19 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 2.55 0.38–4.73 0.00–5.29 | 19% 24% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.88–3.76 0.50–4.14 | 5.82 4.26–7.37 3.84–7.80 | 8.14 5.15–11.13 4.33–11.94 | 86% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+