Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.993.244.23safe0.02–1.962.38–4.092.40–6.05safer0.00–2.212.15–4.321.93–6.53
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction3.528.5312.05safe1.66–5.386.79–10.288.45–15.66safer1.17–5.876.32–10.747.49–16.61
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9520.7631.71safe7.02–14.8717.20–24.3224.22–39.20safer5.93–15.9616.24–25.2822.17–41.25
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5614.5021.06safe3.61–9.5011.82–17.1815.44–26.68safer2.78–10.3311.09–17.9213.87–28.25
Blocked shots
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.255.678.92safe1.37–5.134.01–7.325.38–12.45safer0.83–5.683.52–7.814.35–13.49
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.737.6211.35safe1.51–5.945.62–9.627.13–15.56safer0.94–6.525.08–10.156.02–16.67
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction36.0364.77safe29.24–42.8257.99–71.56safer27.57–44.4956.32–73.23
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction334596929safe266–401529–662796–1063safer248–419512–680760–1099
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction61.8679.85safe57.83–65.8975.52–84.17safer56.53–67.1874.21–85.48
Fouls
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction9.469.5719.03safe6.62–12.306.63–12.5213.25–24.81safer5.87–13.055.88–13.2611.74–26.32
Offsides
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.673.03safe0.20–2.520.57–2.760.77–5.28safer0.00–2.820.29–3.050.18–5.87
Yellow cards
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.262.76safe0.45–2.550.13–2.390.58–4.94safer0.18–2.820.00–2.680.03–5.50
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.232.367.59safe3.79–6.660.80–3.914.59–10.58safer3.40–7.050.38–4.343.78–11.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 3.24 2.38–4.09 2.15–4.32 | 4.23 2.40–6.05 1.93–6.53 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 3.52 1.66–5.38 1.17–5.87 | 8.53 6.79–10.28 6.32–10.74 | 12.05 8.45–15.66 7.49–16.61 | 91% |
| Total shots | 10.95 7.02–14.87 5.93–15.96 | 20.76 17.20–24.32 16.24–25.28 | 31.71 24.22–39.20 22.17–41.25 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 6.56 3.61–9.50 2.78–10.33 | 14.50 11.82–17.18 11.09–17.92 | 21.06 15.44–26.68 13.87–28.25 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.37–5.13 0.83–5.68 | 5.67 4.01–7.32 3.52–7.81 | 8.92 5.38–12.45 4.35–13.49 | 16% 74% |
| Corners | 3.73 1.51–5.94 0.94–6.52 | 7.62 5.62–9.62 5.08–10.15 | 11.35 7.13–15.56 6.02–16.67 | 85% |
| Possession % | 36.03 29.24–42.82 27.57–44.49 | 64.77 57.99–71.56 56.32–73.23 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 334 266–401 248–419 | 596 529–662 512–680 | 929 796–1063 760–1099 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.86 57.83–65.89 56.53–67.18 | 79.85 75.52–84.17 74.21–85.48 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 9.46 6.62–12.30 5.87–13.05 | 9.57 6.63–12.52 5.88–13.26 | 19.03 13.25–24.81 11.74–26.32 | 44% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.03 0.77–5.28 0.18–5.87 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.82 | 1.26 0.13–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.76 0.58–4.94 0.03–5.50 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 5.23 3.79–6.66 3.40–7.05 | 2.36 0.80–3.91 0.38–4.34 | 7.59 4.59–10.58 3.78–11.39 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+