Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.303.21safe0.95–2.880.44–2.151.39–5.03safer0.69–3.130.21–2.380.91–5.51
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.169.93safe3.91–7.642.42–5.906.33–13.54safer3.42–8.131.95–6.375.37–14.50
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7010.8226.52safe11.78–19.637.26–14.3819.04–34.01safer10.69–20.726.30–15.3416.99–36.06
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.047.1518.20safe8.10–13.994.47–9.8312.57–23.82safer7.27–14.823.73–10.5711.01–25.39
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.347.53safe2.30–6.061.69–5.003.99–11.06safer1.76–6.611.20–5.492.95–12.10
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.414.1010.51safe4.19–8.622.10–6.106.29–14.72safer3.62–9.191.57–6.635.19–15.83
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.3046.52safe47.51–61.0939.74–53.31safer45.84–62.7638.07–54.98
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction511441952safe443–578374–507818–1085safer425–596357–525782–1121
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction75.5776.27safe71.54–79.6071.95–80.60safer70.24–80.8970.64–81.91
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4011.1321.53safe7.56–13.248.19–14.0815.75–27.31safer6.81–13.997.44–14.8214.24–28.82
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.873.86safe0.83–3.150.77–2.961.61–6.11safer0.53–3.450.49–3.251.02–6.70
Yellow cards
24%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.383.91safe0.48–2.581.25–3.511.73–6.09safer0.22–2.850.96–3.801.18–6.65
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
30%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.636.47safe1.40–4.272.08–5.193.48–9.46safer1.01–4.661.65–5.612.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.95–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 1.30 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 3.21 1.39–5.03 0.91–5.51 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.91–7.64 3.42–8.13 | 4.16 2.42–5.90 1.95–6.37 | 9.93 6.33–13.54 5.37–14.50 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.70 11.78–19.63 10.69–20.72 | 10.82 7.26–14.38 6.30–15.34 | 26.52 19.04–34.01 16.99–36.06 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 11.04 8.10–13.99 7.27–14.82 | 7.15 4.47–9.83 3.73–10.57 | 18.20 12.57–23.82 11.01–25.39 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.06 1.76–6.61 | 3.34 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.10 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.19–8.62 3.62–9.19 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.63 | 10.51 6.29–14.72 5.19–15.83 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 54.30 47.51–61.09 45.84–62.76 | 46.52 39.74–53.31 38.07–54.98 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 511 443–578 425–596 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 952 818–1085 782–1121 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.57 71.54–79.60 70.24–80.89 | 76.27 71.95–80.60 70.64–81.91 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 10.40 7.56–13.24 6.81–13.99 | 11.13 8.19–14.08 7.44–14.82 | 21.53 15.75–27.31 14.24–28.82 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.87 0.77–2.96 0.49–3.25 | 3.86 1.61–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 2.38 1.25–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 24% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 3.63 2.08–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 30% 15% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.