Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.453.09safe0.67–2.610.59–2.301.26–4.91safer0.42–2.860.36–2.530.78–5.39
Shots on target
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.669.79safe3.27–6.992.91–6.406.18–13.39safer2.78–7.482.45–6.865.23–14.35
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1313.1228.25safe11.21–19.069.56–16.6820.77–35.74safer10.12–20.158.60–17.6418.72–37.79
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.169.5419.70safe7.22–13.106.86–12.2314.08–25.33safer6.39–13.936.13–12.9612.51–26.89
Blocked shots
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.033.817.84safe2.15–5.912.16–5.474.31–11.38safer1.60–6.451.67–5.963.27–12.41
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.8810.22safe3.12–7.552.88–6.886.01–14.43safer2.55–8.132.35–7.424.90–15.54
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction51.2249.67safe44.43–58.0142.88–56.45safer42.76–59.6841.21–58.12
Passes
49%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction484486970safe417–551419–552836–1103safer399–569402–570800–1139
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction75.8577.06safe71.83–79.8872.74–81.39safer70.53–81.1871.43–82.70
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4511.2021.64safe7.61–13.288.25–14.1415.86–27.43safer6.85–14.047.50–14.8914.36–28.93
Offsides
42%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.974.05safe0.93–3.250.88–3.061.80–6.31safer0.62–3.550.59–3.351.21–6.90
Yellow cards
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.673.06safe0.34–2.440.54–2.800.88–5.24safer0.08–2.710.25–3.090.32–5.80
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.256.36safe1.67–4.551.70–4.813.37–9.35safer1.29–4.931.27–5.232.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 3.09 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–6.99 2.78–7.48 | 4.66 2.91–6.40 2.45–6.86 | 9.79 6.18–13.39 5.23–14.35 | 50% 38% |
| Total shots | 15.13 11.21–19.06 10.12–20.15 | 13.12 9.56–16.68 8.60–17.64 | 28.25 20.77–35.74 18.72–37.79 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 10.16 7.22–13.10 6.39–13.93 | 9.54 6.86–12.23 6.13–12.96 | 19.70 14.08–25.33 12.51–26.89 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.15–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 3.81 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 7.84 4.31–11.38 3.27–12.41 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.12–7.55 2.55–8.13 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.35–7.42 | 10.22 6.01–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 51.22 44.43–58.01 42.76–59.68 | 49.67 42.88–56.45 41.21–58.12 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 484 417–551 399–569 | 486 419–552 402–570 | 970 836–1103 800–1139 | 49% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.85 71.83–79.88 70.53–81.18 | 77.06 72.74–81.39 71.43–82.70 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 10.45 7.61–13.28 6.85–14.04 | 11.20 8.25–14.14 7.50–14.89 | 21.64 15.86–27.43 14.36–28.93 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.62–3.55 | 1.97 0.88–3.06 0.59–3.35 | 4.05 1.80–6.31 1.21–6.90 | 42% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.06 0.88–5.24 0.32–5.80 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.67–4.55 1.29–4.93 | 3.25 1.70–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.56–10.17 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+