Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.522.89safe0.39–2.330.67–2.381.06–4.71safer0.14–2.580.44–2.610.58–5.19
Shots on target
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.495.199.68safe2.62–6.353.45–6.936.07–13.28safer2.13–6.842.98–7.405.12–14.24
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9014.5027.39safe8.97–16.8210.93–18.0619.91–34.88safer7.88–17.929.97–19.0217.86–36.93
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction8.2110.1818.39safe5.27–11.167.50–12.8612.77–24.01safer4.44–11.996.76–13.6011.20–25.58
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.873.547.40safe1.98–5.751.88–5.193.87–10.94safer1.44–6.291.39–5.682.83–11.97
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.865.2410.10safe2.65–7.083.24–7.245.89–14.31safer2.08–7.652.71–7.774.78–15.42
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction47.6152.53safe40.82–54.4045.74–59.31safer39.15–56.0744.07–60.98
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction426449875safe358–493383–516741–1009safer340–511365–533706–1044
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction67.6972.76safe63.66–71.7268.44–77.09safer62.37–73.0167.13–78.39
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2212.5924.81safe9.38–15.069.64–15.5319.03–30.59safer8.63–15.818.90–16.2817.52–32.10
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.392.86safe0.31–2.630.30–2.490.61–5.12safer0.01–2.930.01–2.780.02–5.71
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.043.69safe0.60–2.700.91–3.171.51–5.86safer0.33–2.960.62–3.460.95–6.42
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.066.58safe2.08–4.951.50–4.623.58–9.57safer1.69–5.341.08–5.042.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.49 2.62–6.35 2.13–6.84 | 5.19 3.45–6.93 2.98–7.40 | 9.68 6.07–13.28 5.12–14.24 | 35% 53% |
| Total shots | 12.90 8.97–16.82 7.88–17.92 | 14.50 10.93–18.06 9.97–19.02 | 27.39 19.91–34.88 17.86–36.93 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.21 5.27–11.16 4.44–11.99 | 10.18 7.50–12.86 6.76–13.60 | 18.39 12.77–24.01 11.20–25.58 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.98–5.75 1.44–6.29 | 3.54 1.88–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.97 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 4.86 2.65–7.08 2.08–7.65 | 5.24 3.24–7.24 2.71–7.77 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 47.61 40.82–54.40 39.15–56.07 | 52.53 45.74–59.31 44.07–60.98 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 426 358–493 340–511 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 875 741–1009 706–1044 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.69 63.66–71.72 62.37–73.01 | 72.76 68.44–77.09 67.13–78.39 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 12.22 9.38–15.06 8.63–15.81 | 12.59 9.64–15.53 8.90–16.28 | 24.81 19.03–30.59 17.52–32.10 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.78 | 2.86 0.61–5.12 0.02–5.71 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.96 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.69 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.52 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 3.06 1.50–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 6.58 3.58–9.57 2.77–10.38 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+