Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·
Eredivisie·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.183.24safe1.09–3.020.33–2.041.42–5.06safer0.83–3.270.10–2.270.94–5.54
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.873.699.56safe4.00–7.731.95–5.435.95–13.16safer3.51–8.221.48–5.905.00–14.12
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0311.2127.24safe12.10–19.957.65–14.7819.75–34.73safer11.01–21.046.69–15.7317.70–36.78
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.577.5819.15safe8.63–14.514.90–10.2613.53–24.77safer7.80–15.344.16–11.0011.96–26.34
Blocked shots
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.287.77safe2.61–6.381.63–4.934.24–11.31safer2.07–6.921.14–5.433.20–12.34
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.453.9910.44safe4.24–8.671.99–5.996.23–14.66safer3.67–9.241.46–6.525.12–15.76
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.9944.01safe49.20–62.7837.23–50.80safer47.53–64.4535.56–52.47
Passes
81%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction508401909safe441–575334–467775–1042safer423–593317–485739–1078
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction72.1271.07safe68.09–76.1566.75–75.39safer66.79–77.4465.44–76.70
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5712.5025.07safe9.73–15.409.55–15.4419.28–30.85safer8.97–16.168.81–16.1917.78–32.35
Offsides
42%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.362.93safe0.41–2.730.27–2.450.67–5.18safer0.10–3.030.00–2.740.08–5.77
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.763.23safe0.42–2.520.63–2.891.06–5.41safer0.16–2.790.34–3.180.50–5.97
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.826.44safe1.19–4.062.26–5.383.45–9.43safer0.80–4.451.84–5.802.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.09–3.02 0.83–3.27 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 57% 21% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.87 4.00–7.73 3.51–8.22 | 3.69 1.95–5.43 1.48–5.90 | 9.56 5.95–13.16 5.00–14.12 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.03 12.10–19.95 11.01–21.04 | 11.21 7.65–14.78 6.69–15.73 | 27.24 19.75–34.73 17.70–36.78 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 11.57 8.63–14.51 7.80–15.34 | 7.58 4.90–10.26 4.16–11.00 | 19.15 13.53–24.77 11.96–26.34 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.38 2.07–6.92 | 3.28 1.63–4.93 1.14–5.43 | 7.77 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.34 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Corners | 6.45 4.24–8.67 3.67–9.24 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.52 | 10.44 6.23–14.66 5.12–15.76 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 55.99 49.20–62.78 47.53–64.45 | 44.01 37.23–50.80 35.56–52.47 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 508 441–575 423–593 | 401 334–467 317–485 | 909 775–1042 739–1078 | 81% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.12 68.09–76.15 66.79–77.44 | 71.07 66.75–75.39 65.44–76.70 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 12.57 9.73–15.40 8.97–16.16 | 12.50 9.55–15.44 8.81–16.19 | 25.07 19.28–30.85 17.78–32.35 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.10–3.03 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 2.93 0.67–5.18 0.08–5.77 | 42% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.23 1.06–5.41 0.50–5.97 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.82 2.26–5.38 1.84–5.80 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.25 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.